Thursday, April 24, 2008

Mesoscale Discussion 717

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0717
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0534 PM CDT THU APR 24 2008
AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL IA...SCENTRAL MN
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 242234Z - 242330Z
CLUSTER OF TSTMS OVER NCENTRAL IA/SCENTRAL MN WILL CONTINUE TO POSE
A THREAT FOR GENERALLY MARGINAL SVR HAIL/DMGG WINDS FOR THE NEXT 3-4
HRS.
SFC ANALYSIS AND VISIBLE SATELLITE DATA SHOW A NARROW CORRIDOR OF
HEATING/DESTABILIZATION HAS DEVELOPED OVER NCENTRAL IA...SCENTRAL
MN. CONVERGENCE ALONG FRONT AND WEAKENING CINH HAVE COMBINED TO AID
IN A NARROW LINE OF TSTMS. THE AIRMASS DOWNSTREAM OF THIS ACTIVITY
WAS MODESTLY UNSTABLE WITH MUCAPE FROM 1500-2000 J/KG. SUFFICIENT
VERTICAL SHEAR /40 KTS FROM 0-6 KM/ WILL SUPPORT SOME STORM
ROTATION WITH THE THREAT OF LARGE HAIL/DMGG WIND. AS THIS ACTIVITY
MOVES INTO SERN MN/NERN IA LATER THIS EVENING...WEAKER INSTABILITY
AND VERTICAL SHEAR SHOULD SUPPORT A DIMINISHING TREND BY 03Z.
..CROSBIE.. 04/24/2008

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