Friday, September 12, 2008

Hurricane Ike Local Statements, Flooding And Tornadoes

Hurricane local statement
National weather service shreveport la
700 pm central daylight time fri sep 12 2008
, hurricane ike forecast to move over east and northeast texas
Tonight, saturday, and saturday night,
At 600 pm central daylight time , the center of very large hurricane ike
was located
Near latitude 28.2 north, longitude 93.8 west or about 100
Miles, southeast of galveston texas and about 105 miles south of
Beaumont texas.
Ike has been moving between the west-northwest and northwest near 13
Mph. A northwest motion is expected to continue tonight with a
Turn toward the north expected on saturday. On the forecast
Track, the center of ike will be very near the upper texas coast
By later this evening or early saturday morning.
Maximum sustained winds have now increased to near 110 mph, with higher
Gusts. Ike is a strong category two hurricane on the saffir-simpson
Scale and could reach the texas coast as a category three, major
Hurricane.
700 pm central daylight time fri sep 12 2008
, tropical storm wind warning remains in effect until 4 am central daylight
time
Sunday,
, new information,
None.
, areas affected,
Northwest louisiana southwest of a line from shreveport to jena
Louisiana.
, watches/warnings,
A tropical storm wind warning is in effect through 4 am sunday. A
Flash flood watch is in effect through 4 am sunday.
, storm information,
At 600 pm central daylight time , the center of very large hurricane ike
was located
Near latitude 28.2 north, longitude 93.8 west or about 100
Miles, southeast of galveston texas and about 105 miles south of
Beaumont texas.
Ike has been moving between the west-northwest and northwest near 13
Mph. A northwest motion is expected to continue tonight with a
Turn toward the north expected on saturday. On the forecast
Track, the center of ike will be very near the upper texas coast
By later this evening or early saturday morning.
, winds,
Winds will gradually increase tonight and tropical storm force
Winds will occur late tonight through saturday evening.
, inland flooding,
Heavy rainfall of 4 to 6 inches with isolated amounts up to 10
Inches may occur late tonight through saturday night.
, tornadoes,
Isolated tornadoes may occur over northeast texas and north
Louisiana, and south arkansas.
, next update,
The next statement will be issued at 1000 pm.
Flood watch
National weather service shreveport la
332 pm central daylight time fri sep 12 2008
, heavy rains expected with hurricane ike,
.hurricane ike will move inland tonight and weaken during the day
On saturday, but will be able to produce copious amounts of
Rainfall beginning late tonight, and continuing saturday and
Saturday night over the four state area.
332 pm central daylight time fri sep 12 2008
, flash flood watch remains in effect through late saturday
Night,
The flash flood watch continues for
portions of arkansas, louisiana, southeast oklahoma and
Texas, including the following areas, in arkansas,
Columbia, hempstead, howard, lafayette, little river,
Miller, nevada, sevier and union ar. In louisiana,
Bienville, bossier, caddo, caldwell, claiborne, de soto,
Grant, jackson, la salle, lincoln, natchitoches,
Ouachita, red river, sabine la, union la, webster and
Winn. In southeast oklahoma, mccurtain. In texas, angelina,
Bowie, camp, cass, cherokee, franklin, gregg, harrison,
Marion, morris, nacogdoches, panola, red river, rusk,
Sabine tx, san augustine, shelby, smith, titus, upshur
And wood.
through late saturday night
hurricane ike is forecast to make landfall along the upper
Texas coast during the pre dawn hours saturday. Ike
Will move inland through northeast texas and into
Southwest arkansas by sunday morning. Very heavy rainfall
Will be possible beginning late tonight and continuing
Through saturday and saturday night as ike moves through
The four state area.
rainfall amounts of 4 to 6 inches may be common, and isolated
Amounts up to 10 inches could occur.
A flash flood watch means that conditions may develop that lead
To flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.
Flood watch
National weather service lake charles la
347 pm central daylight time fri sep 12 2008
, flooding possible as hurricane ike moves through the area,
.hurricane ike will continue to move toward the upper texas coast
Today before making landfall tonight. The storm is forecast to
Move through northward through east texas after it makes
Landfall.
Vernon-rapides-avoyelles-beauregard-allen-evangeline-st. Landry-
Calcasieu-jefferson davis-acadia-lafayette-upper st. Martin-
Cameron-vermilion-iberia-st. Mary-lower st. Martin-tyler-jasper-
Newton-hardin-jefferson-orange-
Including the cities of, leesville, alexandria, marksville,
Deridder, oakdale, ville platte, opelousas, lake charles,
Jennings, crowley, lafayette, st. Martinville, cameron,
Abbeville, new iberia, morgan city, woodville, jasper,
Newton, lumberton, beaumont/port arthur, orange
347 pm central daylight time fri sep 12 2008
, flash flood watch now in effect through sunday morning,
The flash flood watch is now in effect for
portions of louisiana and southeast texas, including the
Following areas, in louisiana, acadia, allen, avoyelles,
Beauregard, calcasieu, cameron, evangeline, iberia,
Jefferson davis, lafayette, lower st. Martin, rapides, st.
Landry, st. Mary, upper st. Martin, vermilion and vernon.
In southeast texas, hardin, jasper, jefferson, newton,
Orange and tyler.
through sunday morning
heavy rains of 5 to 10 inches with locally higher amounts of
Up to 15 inches are possible across portions of southwest
Louisiana and southeast texas through saturday night as
Hurricane ike moves through the region.
heavy rainfall may lead to flooding of roadways and
Buildings, especially in low lying areas prone to flooding.
A flash flood watch means that conditions may develop that lead
To flash flooding. Flash flooding is a very dangerous situation.
You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
Should flash flood warnings be issued.
426 pm central daylight time fri sep 12 2008
, tropical storm wind warning remains in effect until 10 pm central
daylight time
Saturday,
, new information,
Ike moving through the northwest gulf of mexico, heading toward
The galveston.
, areas affected,
This statement recommends actions to be taken by persons in the
Following counties or marine areas:
Acadia, allen, avoyelles, evangeline, jefferson davis,
Lafayette, lower st. Martin, rapides, st. Landry, upper st.
Martin, vernon.
, watches/warnings,
The following watches and warnings are currently in effect for
This area:
Flash flood watch.
Tornado watch.
Tropical storm wind warning.
, precautionary/preparedness actions,
|, precautionary/preparedness actions,
Persons should prepare for the possibility of tropical storm force
Winds which may result in power outages, blown down trees, and
Some roof damage to homes and businesses.
, storm surge and storm tide,
Jefferson davis parish:
The storm surge will continue its rapid increase in the lake arthur
Area. Its associated vertical water rise may reach 8 feet above mean
Lower low water datum. These water levels will be comparable to
Hurricane rita.
The storm surge will be slow to recede through saturday evening
Due to the prolonged onshore flow.
, winds,
Tropical storm force winds around 50 mph with gusts to 65 mph will
Persist into saturday, before decreasing to below tropical storm
Force by late saturday morning.
, probability of hurricane/tropical storm conditions,
The probability of hurricane force winds is around 20 percent.
The probability of tropical storm force winds falls between 60 and
80 percent.
, inland flooding,
Areal rainfall totals from 2 to 5 inches with isolated amounts to
Around 10 inches are expected. Additional rainfall will produce
Flooding along rivers, flash flooding possible with the heavier
Rainbands.
Minor to moderate flooding is expected along the mermentau river
As well as the vermilion river near surrey street in lafayette.
Significant flooding can be expected along the lower vermilion river
South of lafayette due to the storm surge traveling upstream.
, tornadoes,
Tornado watch 898 in effect until 10 pm central daylight time . Isolated
tornadoes
Are possible from friday into saturday.
, next update,
This statement will be updated around 11 pm friday.
426 pm central daylight time fri sep 12 2008
, hurricane wind warning remains in effect until 10 pm central daylight
time
Saturday,
, new information,
Ike moving through the northwest gulf of mexico, heading toward
The galveston.
, areas affected,
This statement recommends actions to be taken by persons in the
Following counties or marine areas:
Beauregard, calcasieu.
, watches/warnings,
The following watches and warnings are currently in effect for
This area:
Flash flood watch.
Tornado watch.
Hurricane wind warning.
, precautionary/preparedness actions,
Mandatory evacuations in calcasieu parish for people in travel
Trailers, mobile homes, and low-lying areas. This includes
Residents who are home-bound, requiring electricity for their
Well-being. Residents in the remainder of the parish are strongly
Encouraged to leave as well.
Persons should prepare for the possibility of hurricane force
Winds which may result in power outages, blown down trees, and
Some roof damage to homes and businesses.
, storm surge and storm tide,
Calcasieu:
Storm surge will continue its onshore flow up the calcasieu ship
Channel into lake charles. A vertical water rise from 8 to 10 feet
Above mean lower low water datum will be possible. The storm surge
Will be slow to recede through saturday evening.
At these levels, communities along the calcasieu river basin such
As deatonville, portions of carlyss, southeastern portions of
Sulphur, and portions of westlake will experience storm surge
Flooding. Areas within lake charles near the i-10 and i-210
Bridges, near the civic center, and the lake charles beach will
Experience flooding as well. This flooding will be comparable to
That experienced during hurricane rita. Also flooding will be likely
Along any bayous in westlake and lake charles. Black bayou to the
South of lake charles will experience flooding as well.
Flooding is already occurring in lake charles.
, winds,
Calcasieu parish:
Tropical storm force winds around 65 mph with gusts to 85 mph will
Prevail tonight.
Western portions of calcasieu parish could experience hurricane
Force winds around 75 mph with gusts to 90 mph this evening.
Winds are already gusting to tropical storm force.
Beauregard parish:
Tropical storm force winds around 60 mph with gusts to 80 mph will
Prevail tonight. Hurricane force winds around 75 mph with gusts to
90 mph are possible later this evening across southern sections of
The parish, before decreasing to tropical storm force by early
Saturday morning.
Tropical storm force winds will persist on saturday.
, probability of hurricane/tropical storm conditions,
Calcasieu parish:
The probability of hurricane force winds falls between 35 and 45
Percent.
The probability of tropical storm force winds falls between 80 and
90 percent.
Beauregard parish:
The probability of hurricane force winds falls between 30 and 40
Percent.
The probability of tropical storm force winds falls between 80
And 90 percent.
, inland flooding,
Calcasieu:
Moderate flooding is already occurring near salt water barrier.
Areal rainfall amounts from 2 to 6 inches with localized amounts to
10 inches are expected. These rainfall totals will likely produce
New river flooding across southwest louisiana. As is the case during
Any tropical system, any area that receives heavy rains may see
Flash flooding.
At this time record flooding is forecast along the lower calcasieu
River near the salt water barrier which may flood portions of the
City of lake charles.
On the lower calcasieu at old town bay major flooding is forecast
, with water levels forecast to rival those reached in november
2002 (the fourth highest crest on record).
Numerous homes and camps near the river are flooded. Major flooding
Is forecast on the west fork of the calcasieu from houston river to
The confluence of the calcasieu river due to tidal backup.
, tornadoes,
Tornado watch 898 is now in effect until 10 pm central daylight time .
Isolated
Tornadoes are possible today into saturday.
, next update,
This statement will be updated around 11 pm friday.
625 pm central daylight time fri sep 12 2008
, tropical storm wind warning remains in effect until 1 am central daylight
time
Saturday,
, new information,
At 600 pm central daylight time , 2300z, the center of very large hurricane
ike
Was located near latitude 28.2 north, longitude 93.8 west or
About 100 miles southeast of galveston texas and about 105 miles
South of beaumont texas.
Ike has been moving between the west-northwest and northwest near
13 mph. A northwest motion is expected to continue tonight with a
Turn toward the north expected on saturday. On the forecast
Track, the center of ike will be very near the upper texas coast
By later this evening or early saturday morning.
Data from noaa doppler weather radars and reconnaissance aircraft
Indicate ike has become better organized, and maximum sustained
Winds have now increased to near 110 mph with higher gusts. Ike
Is a strong category two hurricane on the saffir- simpson scale
And could reach the texas coast as a category three, major
Hurricane. Stronger winds, especially in stronger gusts, are
Likely on high rise buildings.
Ike remains a very large hurricane and hurricane force winds
Extend outward up to 120 miles from the center, and tropical
Storm force winds extend outward up to 275 miles.
The minimum central pressure recently reported by an air force
Reserve unit reconnaissance aircraft was 954 mb, 28.17 inches.
, areas affected,
This statement recommends actions to be taken by persons in,
Southeast louisiana.
, watches/warnings,
A tornado watch is in effect until 10 pm central daylight time .
, precautionary/preparedness actions,
All preparedness measures should have been completed by this
Time. Occasional tropical storm force wind gusts are occurring
And will continue into tonight.
, winds,
East to southeast winds of 30 to 40 mph with higher gusts in
Squalls are expected tonight.
Minor damage may occur in older mobile home parks. Newly planted
Trees and shrubs may be uprooted if not secured properly. Weak
Tree branches may snap. Residents should move unfastened
Items, such as garbage cans and deck furniture, indoors.
, tornadoes,
Isolated tornadoes associated with fast moving squall lines and
Individual storm cells are possible across the area through this
Evening.
, next update,
This statement will be updated around 830 pm central daylight time .
Hurricane ike intermediate local statement
National weather service fort worth tx
509 pm central daylight time fri sep 12 2008
, hurricane ike to affect north texas,
.synopsis, hurricane ike will make landfall near houston early
Saturday morning. Ike will quickly move north, generally along a
Line from houston to palestine to paris. The storm will weaken to
Tropical storm strength late morning saturday as the system moves
Across eastern portions of north texas. Widespread heavy rainfall
Of 2 to 4 inches with higher totals, strong gusty winds, and
Isolated tornadoes are expected.
509 pm central daylight time fri sep 12 2008
, tropical storm wind warning remains in effect from 6 am
Saturday to 1 am central daylight time sunday,
, new information,
Tropical storm wind warning issued for areas along and east of a
Bowie to gatesville line.
, watches/warnings,
A flash flood watch is in effect for areas along and east of
Interstate 35 saturday and sunday.
, precautionary/preparedness actions,
Due to the windy conditions expected, light-weight objects such
As trash cans and lawn chairs should be secured, as they can
Easily become projectiles in high winds. Power outages may be
Possible, so have flashlights, batteries, a full tank of
Gas, cash, bottled water and non-perishable foods on hand just
In case.
, winds,
Sustained winds from 35 to 45 mph with gusts to 55 mph will be
Possible saturday.
, inland flooding,
Storm total amounts will range from 1 to 2 inches outside of the
Watch area, with 2 to 4 inches possible within the flash flood
Watch.
, next update,
The next scheduled issuance of this product will be around 10 pm.
Tornado warning
Bulletin - eas activation requested
Tornado warning
National weather service lake charles la
732 pm central daylight time fri sep 12 2008
The national weather service in lake charles has issued a
tornado warning for,
Western avoyelles parish in central louisiana,
This includes, moreauville, marksville, effie, bunkie,
Extreme north central evangeline parish in central louisiana,
Eastern rapides parish in central louisiana,
This includes, pineville, cheneyville, alexandria,
until 800 pm central daylight time
at 730 pm central daylight time , national weather service doppler radar
indicated a
Line of severe thunderstorms capable of producing a tornado along a
Line extending from cheneyville to cottonport, or along a line
Extending from cheneyville to 6 miles southwest of moreauville,
Moving north at 32 mph.
tornado producing storms will be near,
Mansura by 740 pm central daylight time ,
Marksville by 750 pm central daylight time ,
Effie, pineville and 6 miles east of alexandria by 800 pm central daylight
time ,
The safest place to be during a tornado is in a small interior room.
Get under a workbench or other piece of sturdy furniture, seek
Shelter on the lowest floor of the building in an interior hallway or
Room such as a closet. Use blankets or pillows to cover your body and
Always stay away from windows.
If in mobile homes or vehicles, evacuate them and get inside a
Substantial shelter. If no shelter is available, lie flat in the
Nearest ditch or other low spot and cover your head with your hands.
A tornado watch remains in effect until 1000 pm central daylight time
friday evening
For southwestern louisiana.
Tornado warning
Bulletin - eas activation requested
Tornado warning
National weather service lake charles la
746 pm central daylight time fri sep 12 2008
The national weather service in lake charles has issued a
tornado warning for,
West central rapides parish in central louisiana,
This includes hineston,
Northeastern vernon parish in west central louisiana,
This includes slagle,
until 815 pm central daylight time
at 742 pm central daylight time , national weather service doppler radar
indicated a
Line of severe thunderstorms capable of producing a tornado along a
Line extending from slagle to hineston, moving northwest at 40
Mph.
tornado producing storms will be near,
Slagle by 755 pm central daylight time ,
The safest place to be during a tornado is in a small interior room.
Get under a workbench or other piece of sturdy furniture, seek
Shelter on the lowest floor of the building in an interior hallway or
Room such as a closet. Use blankets or pillows to cover your body and
Always stay away from windows.
If in mobile homes or vehicles, evacuate them and get inside a
Substantial shelter. If no shelter is available, lie flat in the
Nearest ditch or other low spot and cover your head with your hands.
A tornado watch remains in effect until 1000 pm central daylight time
friday evening
For southwestern louisiana.
Flood watch
National weather service st louis mo
344 pm central daylight time fri sep 12 2008
, the remnants of ike expected to create high potential for
Heavy rainfall over much of eastern and central missouri and
Parts of illinois,
.the latest forecast data continues to show the potential for
Widespread heavy rain developing across the bi-state region from
Saturday through sunday. A front is forecast to slide back south
Into the region and become nearly stationary over central
Sections of both missouri and illinois by saturday afternoon.
Rich tropical moisture from the remnants of hurricane ike will
Interact with this front to produce widespread rain across the bi-
State region saturday night and sunday.
Present indications are that the area with the greatest threat of
Heavy rainfall would extend from southwest missouri into central
Illinois.
While showers and thunderstorms will continue to diminish and
Move north out of the area this evening, it should be emphasized that
The rain will move back in by saturday with the best potential for
Heavy rainfall saturday night and sunday.
Greene il-macoupin il-montgomery il-bond il-fayette il-clinton il-
Marion il-washington il-randolph il-adams il-brown il-pike il-
Calhoun il-jersey il-madison il-st. Clair il-monroe il-knox-lewis-
Shelby-marion-monroe-ralls-pike-boone-audrain-moniteau-cole-osage-
Callaway-montgomery-lincoln-gasconade-warren-st. Charles-franklin-
St. Louis-st. Louis city-jefferson-crawford-washington-
St. Francois-ste. Genevieve-iron-madison-reynolds-
Including the cities of, litchfield, vandalia, salem,
Chester, quincy, edwardsville, belleville, hannibal,
Bowling green, columbia, mexico, jefferson city, st charles,
Union, st louis, farmington
344 pm central daylight time fri sep 12 2008
, flash flood watch remains in effect from saturday morning
Through sunday afternoon,
The flash flood watch continues for
portions of illinois and missouri, including the following
Counties, in illinois, adams il, bond il, brown il,
Calhoun il, clinton il, fayette il, greene il, jersey il,
Macoupin il, madison il, marion il, monroe il, montgomery
Il, pike il, randolph il, st. Clair il and washington il.
In missouri, audrain, boone, callaway, cole, crawford,
Franklin, gasconade, iron, jefferson, knox, lewis,
Lincoln, madison, marion, moniteau, monroe, montgomery,
Osage, pike, ralls, reynolds, shelby, st. Charles, st.
Francois, st. Louis, st. Louis city, ste. Genevieve,
Warren and washington.
from saturday morning through sunday afternoon
rainfall from the remnants of hurricane ike will likely lead
To widespread amounts of 3 to 6 inches, with locally higher
Amounts possible, across the watch area from saturday through
Sunday. Runoff from this heavy rainfall will create a
Heightened potential for flooding on creeks, streams, and
Smaller rivers. In addition, widely scattered thunderstorms
With intense rainfall rates could also lead to flash flooding
In some localized areas.
A flash flood watch means that flash flooding is possible but not
Imminent in the watch area. People in the watch area should be
Aware of the possibility of heavy rainfall and flash flooding.
Check your preparedness requirements, especially if you live in
Flood prone areas. Stay informed, and be ready for quick action
If flooding is observed or if a flash flood warning is issued.
Interested parties should continue to monitor noaa weather radio
Or local media for the latest information and forecast on this
Developing weather situation

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