Monday, September 8, 2008

Hurricane Ike Local Statements

Hurricane ike local statement
National weather service miami fl
1212 pm eastern daylight time mon sep 8 2008
tropical storm watch continues in effect for the southwest
Florida gulf coastal waters,
Interests in south florida should monitor the progress of ike.
at 11 am eastern daylight time the center of hurricane ike was
located near latitude
21.1 north longitude 78.5 west. This location is about 330 miles
Southeast of miami or about 400 miles southeast of naples.
Ike is moving toward the west near 14 mph and a west to west northwest
Motion is expected over the next day or two. On this track the
Center of ike will move over or very near central cuba today and
Emerge into the southeastern gulf of mexico tuesday night.
Maximum sustained winds are near 100 mph with higher gusts. Ike is a
Category two hurricane on the saffir simpson scale. Additional
Weakening is forecast as ike moves over central cuba today.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 60 miles from the
Center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 200
Miles.
1212 pm eastern daylight time mon sep 8 2008
new information,
Updated storm location.
areas affected, This statement recommends actions to be taken by persons in
the
Following counties or marine areas:
Coastal broward, coastal collier, coastal miami dade,
Coastal palm beach, far south miami dade, glades, hendry,
Inland broward, inland collier, inland miami dade, inland
Palm beach, mainland monroe, metro broward, metro miami
Dade, metro palm beach.
, watches/warnings,
A wind advisory remains in effect for coastal and metro palm beach,
Broward and miami-dade until 2 am tuesday. No other watches or
Warnings are in effect for mainland south florida.
precautionary/preparedness actions,
Residents of mainland south florida should remain vigilant and
Keep up with the latest information on hurricane ike as it passes
Across cuba and into the southwest gulf of mexico today through
Wednesday.
For latest information pertaining to your location contact your
Local emergency management agency.
storm surge and storm tide,
Depending on the exact track of hurricane ike after it leaves
Cuba and enters the southeast gulf of mexico, storm tide of 2 to 3 feet
Above mean sea level is possible along the southwest florida gulf
Coast mainly tuesday and wednesday. The storm tide will be highest
At the times of normal high tide and especially along the coast
>From marco island east to chokoloskee and from cape sable east to
Flamingo. Elsewhere storm tides of 1 to 2 feet above normal can be
Expected especially with onshore winds today and tonight.
winds,
Northeast to east winds across mainland south florida will slowly
Increase to 15 to 25 mph with higher gusts especially in squalls
Associated with the spiral bands rotating onshore the atlantic
Coast this afternoon through tuesday. A wind advisory is in effect
For coastal and metro areas of palm beach, broward and miami-dade
Counties through 2 am tuesday. Winds will veer to the east on
Tuesday and southeast tuesday night as ike passes across cuba and
Enters the southeast gulf of mexico. Tropical storm force wind
Gusts, 39 mph or higher, will be likely especially in squalls on
Tuesday and tuesday night into wednesday morning.
probability of hurricane/tropical storm conditions,
For miami fl,
There is about a 21 percent chance of tropical storm force winds,
39 mph or greater, through wednesday.
For w palm beach fl,
There is about a 15 percent chance of tropical storm force winds,
39 mph or greater, through wednesday.
For naples fl,
There is about a 31 percent chance of tropical storm force winds,
39 mph or greater, through wednesday.
The probability of tropical storm force winds in the atlantic
Coastal waters is from 10 to 20 percent through wednesday.
The probability of tropical storm force winds for lake okeechobee
Is 15 to 20 percent through wednesday.
inland flooding,
2 to 4 inches of rain will be possible across mainland south
Florida through wednesday with locally higher amounts possible
Especially if the spiral bands of squalls continually train
Across the same area for several hours.
tornadoes,
Mainland south florida will be in a favored location for brief
Quick striking tornadoes and waterspouts associated with the
Spiral bands of squalls of hurricane ike beginning this afternoon
Lasting through wednesday.
local marine impacts,
East winds will increase across the atlantic waters and biscayne
Bay to 20 to 25 knots today with gusts up to 40 knots especially
In squalls in spiral bands as hurricane ike continues to move
Westward across cuba. However, winds may be higher if the center
Of hurricane ike moves closer to the florida peninsula than
Currently forecast. Seas will build rapidly to 8 to 10 feet today
And will reach up to 12 feet tonight. Over lake okeechobee east
Winds will increase to around 20 knots with gust to 30 knots today
Through tuesday. A small craft advisory remains in effect for all
The atlantic waters, biscayne bay and lake okeechobee. Small craft
Should not venture far from port today and should stay safe in
Port tonight through wednesday.
next update,
This statement will be updated around 3 pm eastern daylight time .
1104 am eastern daylight time mon sep 8 2008
tropical storm warning remains in effect,
hurricane watch remains in effect,
new information,
Updated preparedness section to mention keys evacuation order and
When residents and visitors could return.
Updated winds section to insert outer bands.
areas affected,
This statement details specific preparedness and safety actions
To be taken in the florida keys of monroe county concerning the
Effects of hurricane ike.
watches/warnings,
A tropical storm warning is now in effect for all the florida keys
And the surrounding waters. A tropical storm warning means that
Tropical storm conditions are expected within the warning area within
The next 24 hours. A hurricane watch also remains in effect for all
The florida keys and the surrounding waters. A hurricane watch means
Hurricane conditions are possible within 36 hours of the watch area.
precautionary/preparedness actions,
The florida keys evacuation order will expire at noon
Today, however, residents who evacuated should not return until
After the storm. Visitors can return to the florida keys by this
Weekend. Mariners hospital will remain open until tropical storm
Conditions arrive. All other keys hospitals are closed. Dry tortugas
National park, along with all county and state parks are closed.
Monroe county schools will be closed today and tuesday. All
County, state and federal offices will be closed today. Any
Residents in the florida keys should secure any loose objects, and
Bring inside any outdoor furniture.
storm surge and storm tide,
Preliminary estimates call for storm tides of 1 to 3 feet above
Normal levels to occur tuesday and tuesday night, with the highest
Values more likely in the lower keys. The highest storm tide is
Expected to occur primarily from the atlantic side. The following
Are the expected times of astronomical high tides throughout the
Keys,
In key west at white street pier,
4:23 am tuesday, 7:07 pm tuesday, 5:39 am wednesday
In marathon at vaca cut,
4:05 am tuesday, 6:49 pm tuesday, 5:21 am wednesday
In islamorada at whale harbor channel,
4:13 am tuesday, 5:13 pm tuesday, 5:18 am wednesday
winds,
Outer rain bands, accompanied by tropical storm force wind gusts
Will impact the island chain this afternoon. Winds will remain safe
For all road travel through early this evening. Sustained tropical
Storm force winds of 35 to 45 mph may develop late tonight and
Continue on tuesday. The highest wind speeds are likely to occur in
The lower keys. A few wind gusts to hurricane force are possible in
The lower keys, in heavier squalls.
probability of tropical storm conditions,
For key west, there is a 51 percent chance of sustained winds 39
Mph or greater.
For marathon, there is a 37 percent chance of sustained winds 39
Mph or greater.
rainfall impacts,
Rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches are possible across the florida
Keys tonight through wednesday, with the heaviest amounts more
Likely across the lower keys.
tornadoes,
There is a possibility for isolated tornadoes throughout the
Florida keys with the passage of hurricane ike, from tonight
Through tuesday night.
marine impacts,
All boaters should remain in port, with a tropical storm warning now
Posted for all keys waters. The u.s. coast guard has scaled back
Equipment and personnel assets to prepare for the storm, thus there
Is a lack of resources to respond to emergencies. Snake creek and old
Jewfish creek drawbridges are locked down. Northeast winds will
Increase to near 30 knots this afternoon. Winds will increase
Further tonight, and sustained tropical storm force winds of 35 to
45 knots are possible across all keys waters on tuesday. Stronger
Winds of 45 to 55 knots with a few gusts to hurricane force are
Likely across the waters west of key west out to the dry tortugas.
Seas are forecast to build to 11 to 14 feet beyond the reef, except
14 to 20 feet west of the dry tortugas.
next update,
The next local statement concerning the impacts of hurricane ike to
The florida keys will be issued by 3 pm, or sooner if new
Information becomes available.

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