BULLETIN
HURRICANE GUSTAV ADVISORY NUMBER 33
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008
4 PM CDT MON SEP 01 2008
AT 4 PM CDT, THE HURRICANE WARNING IS CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FROM CAMERON LOUISIANA WESTWARD. A
HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM JUST EAST OF CAMERON LOUISIANA,
EASTWARD TO THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER, INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW
ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY
SHOULD HAVE BEEN COMPLETED.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM CAMERON WESTWARD TO JUST EAST
OF HIGH ISLAND TEXAS, AND FROM THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA BORDER TO THE
FLORIDA-ALABAMA BORDER. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA,
INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS
ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 4 PM CDT, THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.4
NORTH... LONGITUDE 92.0 WEST OR NEAR OPELOUSAS LOUISIANA. THIS POSITION IS
ALSO ABOUT 15 MILES NORTH OF LAFAYETTE LOUISIANA. GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD
THE NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH, AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A
DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS MOTION
SHOULD BRING THE CENTER OF GUSTAV ACROSS SOUTHERN AND WESTERN LOUISIANA
TONIGHT, AND INTO EASTERN TEXAS BY TUESDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH, WITH HIGHER GUSTS. GUSTAV IS A
CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. WEAKENING IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS, WITH GUSTAV FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL
STORM TONIGHT OR EARLY TUESDAY AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATE TUESDAY OR
WEDNESDAY.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES FROM THE CENTER, AND
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES. BATON ROUGE
LOUISIANA RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 82 MPH. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE IS 966 MB... 28.53 INCHES.
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 10 TO 14 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ON THE COASTS
OF SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI WILL BE SLOW TO SUBSIDE TONIGHT
AND TUESDAY. ABOVE NORMAL TIDES ELSEWHERE IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD
GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.
GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES
OVER PORTIONS OF LOUISIANA, SOUTHERN AND WESTERN MISSISSIPPI,
ARKANSAS...SOUTHERN MISSOURI, SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHEASTERN TEXAS,
WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 20 INCHES POSSIBLE THROUGH THURSDAY.
A FEW TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND THE
CENTRAL GULF COAST TONIGHT.
REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION, 30.4 N... 92.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD,
NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS, 80 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE, 966 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 7 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 PM
CDT.
Monday, September 1, 2008
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