Thursday, September 11, 2008

Updated Flood Watch for Oklahoma

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
404 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008

...AREAS OF FLOODING RAIN LIKELY THROUGH THE WEEKEND...
OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-121000-
/O.CON.KOUN.FA.A.0004.000000T0000Z-080915T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-
NOBLE-ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-
BECKHAM-WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-
CLEVELAND-POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-
TILLMAN-COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-
JEFFERSON-CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-
FOARD-WILBARGER-WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...ALVA...CHEROKEE...MEDFORD...
PONCA CITY...ARNETT...WOODWARD...FAIRVIEW...ENID...PERRY...
CHEYENNE...TALOGA...WEATHERFORD...CLINTON...WATONGA...
KINGFISHER...GUTHRIE...STILLWATER...ELK CITY...SAYRE...CORDELL...
ANADARKO...YUKON...EL RENO...MUSTANG...OKLAHOMA CITY...CHANDLER...
CHICKASHA...PURCELL...NORMAN...MOORE...SHAWNEE...SEMINOLE...
HOLDENVILLE...HOLLIS...MANGUM...HOBART...ALTUS...FREDERICK...
LAWTON...DUNCAN...PAULS VALLEY...SULPHUR...ADA...COALGATE...
WALTERS...WAURIKA...ARDMORE...TISHOMINGO...ATOKA...MARIETTA...
MADILL...DURANT...QUANAH...CHILLICOTHE...CROWELL...VERNON...
WICHITA FALLS...MUNDAY...KNOX CITY...SEYMOUR...ARCHER CITY...
HOLLIDAY...LAKESIDE CITY...HENRIETTA
404 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2008
...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA AND NORTHERN TEXAS...INCLUDING THE
FOLLOWING AREAS...IN OKLAHOMA...ALFALFA...ATOKA...BECKHAM...
BLAINE...BRYAN...CADDO...CANADIAN...CARTER...CLEVELAND...
COAL...COMANCHE...COTTON...CUSTER...DEWEY...ELLIS...GARFIELD...
GARVIN...GRADY...GRANT...GREER...HARMON...HARPER...HUGHES...
JACKSON...JEFFERSON...JOHNSTON...KAY...KINGFISHER...KIOWA...
LINCOLN...LOGAN...LOVE...MAJOR...MARSHALL...MCCLAIN...MURRAY...
NOBLE...OKLAHOMA...PAYNE...PONTOTOC...POTTAWATOMIE...ROGER
MILLS...SEMINOLE...STEPHENS...TILLMAN...WASHITA...WOODS AND
WOODWARD. IN NORTHERN TEXAS...ARCHER...BAYLOR...CLAY...FOARD...
HARDEMAN...KNOX...WICHITA AND WILBARGER.

* THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING

* EXCESSIVE RAIN WILL GRADUALLY LEAD TO WIDESPREAD FLOODING

* FORECASTERS ARE MONITORING TWO WEATHER SYSTEMS THAT WILL PRODUCE
HEAVY RAIN. FIRST...A PERSISTENT PLUME OF SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE
WILL INTERACT WITH A BROAD AND SLOW MOVING FRONTAL ZONE TO
PRODUCE EXCESSIVE RAIN FROM FAR WESTERN NORTH TEXAS UP THROUGH
WESTERN AND NORTHERN OKLAHOMA. THIS BAND OF RAIN MAY LAST FROM
TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...RESULTING IN 5 OR MORE INCHES OF
RAIN LOCALLY...AND THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT FLOODING. THE
SECOND EPISODE OF HEAVY RAIN WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE
IKE AS IT TRACKS THROUGH NORTHEAST TEXAS INTO SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA. MOISTURE AROUND THIS LARGE STORM COULD REACH AS FAR AS
CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. THIS MOISTURE COULD
COINCIDE WITH THE FRONTAL ZONE TO PRODUCE A BAND OF VERY HEAVY
RAIN...AND ADDITIONAL FLOODING FROM SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY.
THIS IS THE MOST LIKELY SCENARIO AT THIS TIME. IF THE TRACK OF
IKE WERE TO MOVE FARTHER EAST...THE FLOODING THREAT WOULD
DIMINISH...BUT A TRACK FARTHER WEST WOULD MAKE FLOODING MORE
LIKELY.

LATER FORECASTS WILL REVISE THE PROJECTIONS FOR FLOODING BASED ON
THE POSITION OF THE COLD FRONT AND THE TRACK OF IKE.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. REMEMBER THAT
WITH ONGOING RAIN...PREPARATIONS OF PROPERTY AND LIVESTOCK MAY
REQUIRE MORE TIME.

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