Wednesday, July 23, 2008

Hurricane Dolly Advisory 13A, Eye Wall Crossing South Padre Island

BULLETIN
HURRICANE DOLLY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 13A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042008
12:00 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2008
DOLLY HESITATES. EYE-WALL OF DOLLY CROSSING SOUTH PADRE ISLAND...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM
BROWNSVILLE TO CORPUS CHRISTI, AND FOR THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF
MEXICO FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO NORTHWARD TO THE BORDER BETWEEN MEXICO
AND THE UNITED STATES. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY
SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF CORPUS
CHRISTI TO PORT O'CONNOR.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FROM LA
PESCA TO SOUTH OF RIO SAN FERNANDO.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND
WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 12:00 PM CDT, 17:00Z, THE EYE OF HURRICANE DOLLY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.2 NORTH, LONGITUDE 97.0 WEST, OR ABOUT 35 MILES, 60 KM NORTHEAST
OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS. DOLLY HAS BEEN MEANDERING FOR THE PAST HOUR OR SO, BUT
IT SHOULD BEGIN TO MOVE TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH, 11 KM/HR SOON.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE EYE OF HURRICANE DOLLY WILL BE CROSSING THE COAST
ALONG THE SOUTHERN TEXAS COAST IN A COUPLE OF HOURS. PERSONS ARE ADVISED NOT
TO VENTURE OUTDOORS DURING THE RELATIVE CALM OF THE EYE BECAUSE WINDS WILL
SOON INCREASE QUITE RAPIDLY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 100 MPH, 160 KM/HR, WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
DOLLY IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. STRONGER WINDS, ESPECIALLY IN GUSTS, ARE LIKELY ON
HIGH RISE BUILDINGS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED BEFORE
LANDFALL WITH A GRADUAL WEAKENING THEREAFTER.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES, 35 KM FROM THE CENTER,
AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES, 220 KM. PORT
ISABEL AIRPORT JUST MEASURED 58 MPH, 92 KM/HR SUSTAINED WINDS WITH GUSTS TO
70 MPH, 113 KM/HR.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS
967 MB, 28.56 INCHES. DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES, WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES OVER
PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY CAUSE WIDESPREAD FLOODING ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH
TEXAS AND NORTHEAST MEXICO. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 6 TO 8 FEET
ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS, ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES,
CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS TODAY AND
TONIGHT.
REPEATING THE 12:00 PM CDT POSITION, 26.2 N, 97.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD,
WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS, 100 MPH. MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE, 967 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2:00 PM CDT, FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE
ADVISORY AT 4:00
PM CDT.

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