Heat Wave To Hit Oklahoma This Weekend

Active Watches and Warnings

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
314 PM CDT THU JUL 31 2008

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-011100-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-
NOBLE-ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-
BECKHAM-WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-
CLEVELAND-POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-
TILLMAN-COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-
JEFFERSON-CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-
FOARD-WILBARGER-WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...ALVA...CHEROKEE...MEDFORD...
PONCA CITY...ARNETT...WOODWARD...FAIRVIEW...ENID...PERRY...
CHEYENNE...TALOGA...WEATHERFORD...CLINTON...WATONGA...
KINGFISHER...GUTHRIE...STILLWATER...ELK CITY...SAYRE...CORDELL...
ANADARKO...YUKON...EL RENO...MUSTANG...OKLAHOMA CITY...CHANDLER...
CHICKASHA...PURCELL...NORMAN...MOORE...SHAWNEE...SEMINOLE...
HOLDENVILLE...HOLLIS...MANGUM...HOBART...ALTUS...FREDERICK...
LAWTON...DUNCAN...PAULS VALLEY...SULPHUR...ADA...COALGATE...
WALTERS...WAURIKA...ARDMORE...TISHOMINGO...ATOKA...MARIETTA...
MADILL...DURANT...QUANAH...CHILLICOTHE...CROWELL...VERNON...
WICHITA FALLS...MUNDAY...KNOX CITY...SEYMOUR...ARCHER CITY...
HOLLIDAY...LAKESIDE CITY...HENRIETTA
314 PM CDT THU JUL 31 2008

...HEAT WAVE TO REDEVELOP THIS WEEKEND THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK...

MUCH OF OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS WAS FORTUNATE TO RECEIVE
SOME RAIN DURING THE PASTS 2 TO 3 DAYS. A SHIFT TO EASTERLY WINDS
BROUGHT GREATER HUMIDITY...CLOUD COVER...AND SOMEWHAT LOWER
TEMPERATURES. THIS WEEKEND...HOWEVER...A HEAT WAVE WILL
REDEVELOP...AS A BROAD UPPER LEVEL RIDGE SPILLS OUT OF THE ROCKIES
AND INTO THE PLAINS. AT THE SURFACE...ONE MORE DAY OF LIGHT EAST TO
SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL HELP KEEP TEMPERATURES TOLERABLE...IN THE UPPER
90S TO JUST ABOVE 100 DEGREES. BEGINNING SATURDAY...WINDS WILL TURN
TO THE SOUTHWEST. HIGHS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH 100 TO 106 DEGREES
FROM SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE MIDDLE TO
UPPER 70S. DECREASING HUMIDITY SHOULD KEEP HEAT INDICES FROM
CLIMBING MUCH HIGHER THAN THE ACTUAL AIR TEMPERATURE...BUT THE
PROLONGED HOT WEATHER WILL GRADUALLY TAKE ITS TOLL ON PEOPLE AND
PETS.

THOSE WORKING OR SPENDING TIME OUTDOORS ARE ENCOURAGED TO TAKE
FREQUENT BREAKS AND DRINK PLENTY OF CLEAR FLUIDS. CHECK ON RELATIVES
AND NEIGHBORS. THE ELDERLY AND THE VERY YOUNG CAN BE ESPECIALLY
SENSITIVE TO THE HEAT. ALSO...BE SURE OUTDOOR PETS HAVE FRESH WATER
AND A SOURCE OF SHADE. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR
FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR UPDATES AND POSSIBLE HEAT
ADVISORIES.

Heat Advisory Continues

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
323 AM CDT SUN JUL 27 2008

...HEAT ADVISORY CONTINUES THROUGH THIS EVENING...

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-271630-
/O.CON.KOUN.HT.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-080728T0300Z/
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-
NOBLE-ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-
BECKHAM-WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-
CLEVELAND-POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-
TILLMAN-COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-
JEFFERSON-CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-
FOARD-WILBARGER-WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BUFFALO...ALVA...CHEROKEE...MEDFORD...
PONCA CITY...ARNETT...WOODWARD...FAIRVIEW...ENID...PERRY...
CHEYENNE...TALOGA...WEATHERFORD...CLINTON...WATONGA...
KINGFISHER...GUTHRIE...STILLWATER...ELK CITY...SAYRE...CORDELL...
ANADARKO...YUKON...EL RENO...MUSTANG...OKLAHOMA CITY...CHANDLER...
CHICKASHA...PURCELL...NORMAN...MOORE...SHAWNEE...SEMINOLE...
HOLDENVILLE...HOLLIS...MANGUM...HOBART...ALTUS...FREDERICK...
LAWTON...DUNCAN...PAULS VALLEY...SULPHUR...ADA...COALGATE...
WALTERS...WAURIKA...ARDMORE...TISHOMINGO...ATOKA...MARIETTA...
MADILL...DURANT...QUANAH...CHILLICOTHE...CROWELL...VERNON...
WICHITA FALLS...MUNDAY...KNOX CITY...SEYMOUR...ARCHER CITY...
HOLLIDAY...LAKESIDE CITY...HENRIETTA
323 AM CDT SUN JUL 27 2008

...HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

DRINK PLENTY OF FLUIDS... STAY IN AIR CONDITIONED ROOMS... STAY
OUT OF THE SUN DURING THE AFTERNOON...AND CHECK ON RELATIVES AND
NEIGHBORS. THE ELDERLY AND THE VERY YOUNG CAN BE ESPECIALLY
SENSITIVE TO THE HEAT. REMEMBER THAT TEMPERATURES IN ENCLOSED
VEHICLES... WITH THE AIR CONDITIONER OFF... CAN QUICKLY RISE TO
LETHAL LEVELS. ALSO...BE SURE PETS HAVE PLENTY OF FRESH WATER AND A
SOURCE OF SHADE.

Dolly Weakens To A Tropical Depression, Advisory 18 Will Be The Last One Published on Dolly

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOLLY ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042008
4:00 PM CDT THU JUL 24 2008
DOLLY WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSION. STILL DUMPING HEAVY RAINS...
AT 4:00 PM CDT, 21:00Z, THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOLLY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 28.2 NORTH, LONGITUDE 100.6 WEST, OR ABOUT 35 MILES, 55 KM
SOUTH OF EAGLE PASS TEXAS. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH, 23 KM/HR, AND THIS GENERAL MOTION SHOULD
CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH,
55 KM/HR, WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST AND DOLLY IS
EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE ON FRIDAY. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000
MB, 29.53 INCHES.
DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES
OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO THROUGH FRIDAY.
ISOLATED STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE WITH DOLLY. THESE
RAINS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE WIDESPREAD FLOODING.
REPEATING THE 4:00 PM CDT POSITION, 28.2 N, 100.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD,
WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS, 35 MPH. MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE, 1000 MB.
THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON
DOLLY. FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN PUBLIC ADVISORIES
ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER UNDER AWIPS HEADER
TCPAT4 AND WMO HEADER WTNT4 KWNH BEGINNING AT 10 PM CDT.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOLLY DISCUSSION NUMBER 18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042008
5:00 PM EDT THU JUL 24 2008
DOLLY HAS CONTINUED TO WEAKEN AND IS NOW A TROPICAL DEPRESSION, ACCOMPANIED
BY A LARGE AREA OF RAIN AND SQUALLS. THE DEPRESSION IS WELL INLAND MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 12 KNOTS. THIS GENERAL MOTION IS FORECAST TO
CONTINUE UNTIL DISSIPATION IN A DAY OR SO.
THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON
DOLLY. FUTURE INFORMATION ON DOLLY CAN BE FOUND IN PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED
BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPAT4 AND
WMO HEADER WTNT34 KWNH BEGINNING AT 10 PM CDT.
This information is provided as a public service from the National Hurricane
Center http://www.nhc.noaa.gov orr http://hurricanes.gov.

Tropical Storm Dolly Advisory 17A, Storm Weakens Further!

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM DOLLY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042008
1:00 PM CDT THU JUL 24 2008
DOLLY WEAKENING AND MOVING A LITTLE FASTER...
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 1:00 PM CDT, 18:00Z, THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.9 NORTH, LONGITUDE 99.8 WEST, VERY NEAR THE U.S.
MEXICO BORDER, ABOUT 30 MILES, 50 KM NORTHWEST OF
LAREDO TEXAS. DOLLY HAS INCREASED ITS FORWARD SPEED AND IS NOW MOVING TOWARD
THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH, 22 KM/HR. THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE UNTIL DISSIPATION IN A DAY OR SO.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH, 65 KM/HR, WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THESE WINDS ARE CONFINED TO A FEW RAINBANDS TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF
THE CENTER. DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER
TODAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES, 140 KM FROM
THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 998 MB, 29.47 INCHES. DOLLY IS
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES, WITH
ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF
SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO. THESE RAINS ARE VERY LIKELY TO
CAUSE WIDESPREAD FLOODING. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTH
CENTRAL TEXAS TODAY.
REPEATING THE 1:00 PM CDT POSITION, 27.9 N, 99.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD, WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS, 40 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE, 998 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 4:00 PM CDT.

Tropical Storm Dolly Advisory 17, Storm Weakening, But Dumping Lots of Rain

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM DOLLY ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042008
10:00 AM CDT THU JUL 24 2008
DOLLY DUMPING HEAVY RAINS AS IT MOVES FARTHER INLAND...
AT 10 AM CDT, 15:00 UTC, THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM
BROWNSVILLE TO PORT ARANSAS HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 10:00 AM CDT, 15:00Z, THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.5 NORTH, LONGITUDE 99.3 WEST, VERY NEAR
LAREDO TEXAS. DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH, 15
KM/HR, AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE UNTIL DISSIPATION IN A DAY OR
SO. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH, 75 KM/HR, WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES, 140 KM FROM THE
CENTER. THE WEATHER STATION AT HEBBRONVILLE RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED
WINDS OF 38 MPH, 62 KM/HR, WITH A PEAK GUST OF 52 MPH, 84 KM/HR. ESTIMATED
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB, 29.29 INCHES.
DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12
INCHES, WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS AND
NORTHEASTERN MEXICO. THESE RAINS ARE VERY LIKELY TO CAUSE WIDESPREAD
FLOODING. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS TODAY.
REPEATING THE 10:00 AM CDT POSITION, 27.5 N, 99.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD
WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS, 45 MPH. MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE, 992 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1:00 PM CDT, FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE
ADVISORY AT 4:00
PM CDT.
TROPICAL STORM DOLLY DISCUSSION NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042008
11:00 AM EDT THU JUL 24 2008
RADAR AND SURFACE DATA INDICATE THAT DOLLY STILL HAS A LARGE
CIRCULATION ACCOMPANIED BY NUMEROUS CONVECTIVE BANDS. THE MOST
PROMINENT CONVECTION IS TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. INITIAL
INTENSITY HAS BEEN LOWERED TO 40 KNOTS. THERE ARE NUMEROUS
OBSERVATIONS WITH GUSTS OF 45 TO 48 KNOTS EARLIER THIS MORNING. AS DOLLY
MOVES FARTHER INLAND, IT IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AND SHOULD
BE NO MORE THAN A REMNANT LOW IN A DAY OR SO. DESPITE WEAKENING, DOLLY HAS
THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE VERY HEAVY RAINS AND SIGNIFICANT
INLAND FLOODING.
THE CENTER OF DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST ABOUT 8
KNOTS. THE CYCLONE IS SOUTH OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE SO THIS GENERAL
TRACK SHOULD CONTINUE UNTIL DISSIPATION IN A DAY OR SO.
This information is provided as a public service from the National Hurricane
Center http://www.nhc.noaa.gov orr http://hurricanes.gov

TS DOLLY Public Advisory 15

- original message -
Subject: TS DOLLY Public Advisory 15
From: "NHC Mail (Atlantic Public)" <mail-storm-atlan@seahorse.nhc.noaa.gov>
Date: 07/24/2008 2:43 AM

000
WTNT34 KNHC 240235
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM DOLLY ADVISORY NUMBER 15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042008
1000 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

...DOLLY WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM BUT HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE...

AT 10 PM CDT...0300 UTC...ALL HURRICANE WARNINGS ALONG THE COASTS OF
TEXAS AND MEXICO HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED.

AT 10 PM CDT...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM
BROWNSVILLE TO PORT ARANSAS TEXAS. COASTAL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS
ELSEWHERE ARE DISCONTINUED.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1000 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.1 WEST OR ABOUT 55
MILES... 90 KM...NORTHWEST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS.

DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR. A TURN BACK
TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TOMORROW WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE
IN FORWARD SPEED UNTIL THE SYSTEM DISSIPATES ON FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WEAKENING AS IT MOVES FURTHER
INLAND...AND DOLLY COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BY LATE
TOMORROW.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 981 MB...28.97 INCHES.

DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12
INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES...OVER PORTIONS OF
SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...CAUSING
WIDESPREAD FLOODING IN THESE AREAS.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING WILL SUBSIDE TONIGHT.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS TODAY
AND TONIGHT.

REPEATING THE 1000 PM CDT POSITION...26.5 N...98.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...981 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 100 AM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 400
AM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN

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Hurricane Dolly Public Advisory 14

- original message -
Subject: HURR DOLLY Public Advisory 14
From: "NHC Mail (Atlantic Public)" <mail-storm-atlan@seahorse.nhc.noaa.gov>
Date: 07/23/2008 8:49 PM

000
WTNT34 KNHC 232043
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE DOLLY ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042008
400 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

...DOLLY CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES FARTHER INLAND...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM
BROWNSVILLE TO JUST SOUTH OF BAFFIN BAY...AND FOR THE NORTHEASTERN
COAST OF MEXICO FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO NORTHWARD TO THE BORDER
BETWEEN MEXICO AND THE UNITED STATES. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE BEEN COMPLETED.

AT 4 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE HURRICANE WARNING FROM BAFFIN BAY
NORTHWARD TO CORPUS CHRISTI HAS BEEN REPLACED BY A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BAFFIN BAY
TO PORT O'CONNOR.

AT 4 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND HURRICANE
WATCH FROM LA PESCA TO SOUTH OF RIO SAN FERNANDO HAVE BEEN
DISCONTINUED.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 400 PM CDT...2100Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE DOLLY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 26.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.6 WEST OR ABOUT 50 MILES...
80 KM...NORTH OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS.

DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR. A
GRADUAL TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND WEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT DAY OR SO. THIS WILL BRING DOLLY FARTHER INLAND OVER SOUTHER
TEXAS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 85 MPH...140
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DOLLY IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON
THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. FURTHER WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES...220 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB...28.64 INCHES.

DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12
INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES...OVER PORTIONS OF
SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY CAUSE WIDESPREAD FLOODING ACROSS PORTIONS
OF SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEAST MEXICO.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING UP TO 6 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES WILL
CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW BUT WILL
SUBSIDE LATER TONIGHT.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS TODAY
AND TONIGHT.

REPEATING THE 400 PM CDT POSITION...26.6 N...97.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...970 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 700 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1000
PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

------------------------------------------------------------------
This information is provided as a public service from the
National Hurricane Center
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PLEASE NOTE: Timely delivery of this email is NOT GUARANTEED.
DISCLAIMER: http://www.weather.gov/disclaimer.php
PRIVACY: http://www.weather.gov/privacy.php
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Heat Advisory In Effect For Oklahoma

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
252 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

...A HEAT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...

.AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HOT AND DRY AIR WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES
CLOSE TO OR JUST ABOVE 100 DEGREES THE NEXT FEW DAYS. AT THE SAME
TIME...SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE AT THE SURFACE...DRAWING UP
INCREASING HUMIDITY FROM THE GULF...AND KEEPING TEMPERATURES IN
THE MIDDLE 70S OVERNIGHT.

OKZ005>008-010>013-017>020-023>032-037>048-050>052-TXZ085-086-
088>090-240400-
/O.NEW.KOUN.HT.Y.0001.080723T2100Z-080727T0200Z/
WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-BLAINE-
KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-
MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-TILLMAN-COMANCHE-
STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-CARTER-
JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-WILBARGER-WICHITA-BAYLOR-
ARCHER-CLAY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALVA...CHEROKEE...MEDFORD...
PONCA CITY...WOODWARD...FAIRVIEW...ENID...PERRY...WATONGA...
KINGFISHER...GUTHRIE...STILLWATER...ANADARKO...YUKON...EL RENO...
MUSTANG...OKLAHOMA CITY...CHANDLER...CHICKASHA...PURCELL...
NORMAN...MOORE...SHAWNEE...SEMINOLE...HOLDENVILLE...FREDERICK...
LAWTON...DUNCAN...PAULS VALLEY...SULPHUR...ADA...COALGATE...
WALTERS...WAURIKA...ARDMORE...TISHOMINGO...ATOKA...MARIETTA...
MADILL...DURANT...VERNON...WICHITA FALLS...SEYMOUR...
ARCHER CITY...HOLLIDAY...LAKESIDE CITY...HENRIETTA
252 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A HEAT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT SATURDAY.

THROUGH SATURDAY...AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL REMAIN CONSISTENT IN THE
UPPER 90S AND LOW 100S. INCREASING HUMIDITY WILL PUSH HEAT INDICES
TO AROUND 105 DEGREES EACH AFTERNOON...WITH LOW TEMPERATURES
FALLING ONLY INTO THE MIDDLE 70S OVERNIGHT. THE DURATION OF THE
CURRENT HEAT WAVE...COMBINED WITH GREATER HUMIDITY...WILL INCREASE
THE RISK FOR HEAT RELATED ILLNESSES. IF THE WEATHER PATTERN DOES
NOT CHANGE...THE HEAT ADVISORY COULD BE EXTENDED IN TIME.

A HEAT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WARM NIGHTS AND VERY HOT DAYS WILL
INCREASE THE RISK FOR HEAT RELATED ILLNESS...WITH THE EFFECTS
GROWING EACH DAY. DRINK PLENTY OF FLUIDS...STAY IN AN AIR-
CONDITIONED ROOMS...STAY OUT OF THE SUN...AND CHECK UP ON
RELATIVES AND NEIGHBORS.

Hurricane Dolly Advisory 13B, Dolly Makes Landfall In South Padre Island

BULLETIN
HURRICANE DOLLY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 13B
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042008
2:00 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2008
DOLLY MADE LANDFALL IN SOUTH PADRE ISLAND. EXPECTED TO MOVE
FARTHER INLAND OVER SOUTHERN TEXAS LATER TODAY...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM
BROWNSVILLE TO CORPUS CHRISTI, AND FOR THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF
MEXICO FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO NORTHWARD TO THE BORDER BETWEEN MEXICO
AND THE UNITED STATES. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY
SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF CORPUS
CHRISTI TO PORT O'CONNOR.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FROM LA
PESCA TO SOUTH OF RIO SAN FERNANDO.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 2:00 PM CDT, 19:00Z, THE EYE OF HURRICANE DOLLY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
26.4 NORTH, LONGITUDE 97.3 WEST. THIS POSITION IS OVER LAGUNA MADRE, ABOUT
35 MILES, 60 KM NORTH-NORTHEAST OF
BROWNSVILLE TEXAS, AND 30 MILES, 51 KM EAST SOUTHEAST OF RAYMONDVILLE. DOLLY
IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH, 11 KM/HR.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE EYE OF HURRICANE DOLLY WILL BE MOVING INLAND OVER
FAR SOUTH TEXAS LATER TODAY. PERSONS ARE ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE OUTDOORS
DURING THE RELATIVE CALM OF THE EYE BECAUSE WINDS WILL SOON INCREASE QUITE
RAPIDLY.
BECAUSE A PORTION OF THE CIRCULATION OF DOLLY HAS BEEN INTERACTING WITH
LAND, THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 95 MPH, 150 KM/HR,
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DOLLY IS NOW A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. STRONGER WINDS, ESPECIALLY
IN GUSTS, ARE LIKELY ON HIGH RISE BUILDINGS. A GRADUAL WEAKENING SHOULD
BEGIN SOON AS THE EYE MOVES FARTHER INLAND.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES, 35 KM FROM THE CENTER,
AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES, 220 KM.
HARLINGEN TEXAS MEASURED 54 MPH, 87 KM/HR SUSTAINED WINDS WITH GUSTS TO 74
MPH, 119 KM/HR.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE AT
LANDFALL WAS 967 MB, 28.56 INCHES.
DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12
INCHES, WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS AND
NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. BROWNSVILLE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR HAS ESTIMATED UP TO A FOOT OF RAIN SO FAR OVER
PORTIONS OF COASTAL FAR SOUTH TEXAS. THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY CAUSE
WIDESPREAD FLOODING ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEAST MEXICO.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 6 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS, ALONG
WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES, CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE
NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE
OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS TODAY AND TONIGHT.
REPEATING THE 2:00 PM CDT POSITION., 26.4 N, 97.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD
WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS, 95 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE, 967 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 4:00 PM CDT.

Hurricane Dolly Advisory 13A, Eye Wall Crossing South Padre Island

BULLETIN
HURRICANE DOLLY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 13A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042008
12:00 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2008
DOLLY HESITATES. EYE-WALL OF DOLLY CROSSING SOUTH PADRE ISLAND...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM
BROWNSVILLE TO CORPUS CHRISTI, AND FOR THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF
MEXICO FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO NORTHWARD TO THE BORDER BETWEEN MEXICO
AND THE UNITED STATES. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY
SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF CORPUS
CHRISTI TO PORT O'CONNOR.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FROM LA
PESCA TO SOUTH OF RIO SAN FERNANDO.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND
WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 12:00 PM CDT, 17:00Z, THE EYE OF HURRICANE DOLLY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.2 NORTH, LONGITUDE 97.0 WEST, OR ABOUT 35 MILES, 60 KM NORTHEAST
OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS. DOLLY HAS BEEN MEANDERING FOR THE PAST HOUR OR SO, BUT
IT SHOULD BEGIN TO MOVE TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH, 11 KM/HR SOON.
ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE EYE OF HURRICANE DOLLY WILL BE CROSSING THE COAST
ALONG THE SOUTHERN TEXAS COAST IN A COUPLE OF HOURS. PERSONS ARE ADVISED NOT
TO VENTURE OUTDOORS DURING THE RELATIVE CALM OF THE EYE BECAUSE WINDS WILL
SOON INCREASE QUITE RAPIDLY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 100 MPH, 160 KM/HR, WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
DOLLY IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. STRONGER WINDS, ESPECIALLY IN GUSTS, ARE LIKELY ON
HIGH RISE BUILDINGS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED BEFORE
LANDFALL WITH A GRADUAL WEAKENING THEREAFTER.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES, 35 KM FROM THE CENTER,
AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES, 220 KM. PORT
ISABEL AIRPORT JUST MEASURED 58 MPH, 92 KM/HR SUSTAINED WINDS WITH GUSTS TO
70 MPH, 113 KM/HR.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS
967 MB, 28.56 INCHES. DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES, WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES OVER
PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY CAUSE WIDESPREAD FLOODING ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH
TEXAS AND NORTHEAST MEXICO. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 6 TO 8 FEET
ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS, ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES,
CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS TODAY AND
TONIGHT.
REPEATING THE 12:00 PM CDT POSITION, 26.2 N, 97.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD,
WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS, 100 MPH. MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE, 967 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 2:00 PM CDT, FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE
ADVISORY AT 4:00
PM CDT.

Hurricane Dolly Advisory 13 Plus Discussion, Storm Now A Category 2

BULLETIN
HURRICANE DOLLY ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042008
10:00 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2008
DOLLY VERY NEAR THE TEXAS COAST WITH 100 MPH WINDS. EYE SHOULD
CROSS THE COAST IN A FEW HOURS...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM
BROWNSVILLE TO CORPUS CHRISTI, AND FOR THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF
MEXICO FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO NORTHWARD TO THE BORDER BETWEEN MEXICO
AND THE UNITED STATES. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY
SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
AT 10 AM CDT, 15:00 UTC, THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING NORTH OF PORT
O'CONNOR HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN
EFFECT FROM NORTH OF CORPUS CHRISTI TO PORT O'CONNOR. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FROM LA PESCA TO SOUTH OF RIO
SAN FERNANDO. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, INCLUDING
POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 10:00 AM CDT, 1500Z, THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DOLLY WAS LOCATED BY RADAR
AND A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE NEAR LATITUDE 26.0 NORTH, LONGITUDE 97.0 WEST, OR
ABOUT 30 MILES, 50 KM EAST-NORTHEAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS. DOLLY IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH, 11 KM/HR. A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH
A SLIGHT DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK, THE EYE OF
HURRICANE DOLLY WILL BE CROSSING THE COAST NEAR THE TEXAS/MEXICO
BORDER IN A FEW HOURS. PERSONS ARE ADVISED NOT TO VENTURE OUTDOORS
DURING THE RELATIVE CALM OF THE EYE BECAUSE WINDS WILL SOON
INCREASE QUITE RAPIDLY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 100 MPH, 160 KM/HR, WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. DOLLY IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON
THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. STRONGER WINDS, ESPECIALLY IN GUSTS, ARE LIKELY ON
HIGH RISE BUILDINGS. SOME ADDITIONAL
STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE LANDFALL.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES, 35 KM FROM THE CENTER,
AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES, 220 KM. PORT
ISABEL AIRPORT JUST MEASURED 54 MPH, 87 KM/HR SUSTAINED WINDS WITH GUSTS TO
70 MPH, 113 KM/HR. AN UNOFFICIAL OBSERVER JUST EAST OF MATAMOROS MEXICO
REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 65 MPH, 105 KM/HR WITH GUSTS TO 119 MPH, 192
KM/HR.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE
PLANE IS 964 MB, 28.47 INCHES.
DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10
INCHES, WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH
TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THESE RAINS
WILL LIKELY CAUSE WIDESPREAD FLOODING ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH
TEXAS AND NORTHEAST MEXICO.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 6 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS, ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES, CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS TODAY
AND TONIGHT.
REPEATING THE 10:00 AM CDT POSITION, 26.0 N...97.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD, NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS, 100 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE, 964 MB. INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY
THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 12:00 PM CDT AND 2:00 PM CDT, FOLLOWED BY
THE NEXT COMPLETE
ADVISORY AT 4:00 PM CDT.
HURRICANE DOLLY DISCUSSION NUMBER 13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042008
11:00 AM EDT WED JUL 23 2008
DOLLY IS STRENGTHENING. THE MINIMUM PRESSURE HAS DROPPED TO 964 MB, WITH A
PEAK FLIGHT LEVEL WIND OF 92 KNOTS. DOPPLER WINDS FROM THE NWS RADAR AT
BROWNSVILLE HAVE BEEN OSCILLATING BETWEEN 95 AND 109 KNOTS AROUND 2000 FEET
ALTITUDE, AND THE SATELLITE PRESENTATION HAS IMPROVED SIGNIFICANTLY SINCE
YESTERDAY. IT HAS NOW A RAGGED EYE ON BOTH VIS AND IR IMAGES. INITIAL
INTENSITY HAS BEEN INCREASED TO 85 KNOTS, MAKING DOLLY A CATEGORY TWO
HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL
STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS BEFORE LANDFALL.
RADAR AND AIRCRAFT FIXES INDICATE THAT DOLLY IS MOVING ON A GENERAL
NORTHWEST TRACK OR 305 DEGREES AT ABOUT 6 KNOTS. HOWEVER, DOLLY IS
EXPECTED TO SLOW DOWN A LITTLE, FOLLOWED BY A GRADUAL TURN MORE TO
THE WEST-NORTHWEST LATER TODAY. THIS TRACK SHOULD BRING THE CORE OF
THE HURRICANE INLAND EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THEREAFTER, A
DEVELOPING MID-LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN UNITED STATES
SHOULD FORCE THE CYCLONE ON A MORE WESTWARD TRACK. SHOULD DOLLY MOVE MORE
SLOWLY OVER EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS THAN WE ARE FORECASTING, IT IS POSSIBLE
FOR IT TO PRODUCE EVEN MORE
RAINFALL THAN WE ARE CURRENTLY PREDICTING.

Hurricane Dolly Advisory 12B, Storm Almost A Category 2

BULLETIN
HURRICANE DOLLY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 12B
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042008
800 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2008
...DOLLY STRENGTHENING AS IT APPROACHES THE SOUTHERN TEXAS COAST...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM
BROWNSVILLE TO CORPUS CHRISTI...AND FOR THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF
MEXICO FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO NORTHWARD TO THE BORDER BETWEEN MEXICO
AND THE UNITED STATES. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY
SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF CORPUS
CHRISTI TO SAN LUIS PASS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FROM LA
PESCA TO SOUTH OF RIO SAN FERNANDO.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 800 AM CDT...1300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DOLLY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 25.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.9 WEST OR ABOUT 40 MILES...
60 KM...EAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS.
DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR...AND
NORTHWESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE
IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER OF DOLLY WILL BE ALONG THE COAST NEAR THE TEXAS/MEXICO
BORDER AROUND MIDDAY TODAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 95 MPH...155
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DOLLY IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON
THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS
EXPECTED...AND DOLLY COULD APPROACH CATEGORY TWO INTENSITY WHEN IT
REACHES THE COASTLINE LATER TODAY.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES...220 KM. PORT ISABEL ON THE SOUTHERN TEXAS COAST JUST
REPORTED A WIND GUST TO 72 MPH...116 KM/HR AND MATAMOROS MEXICO
REPORTED GUSTS TO 55 MPH...89 KM/HR.
AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT RECENTLY
REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 967 MB...28.56 INCHES.
DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10
INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES...OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH
TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THESE RAINS
WILL LIKELY CAUSE WIDESPREAD FLOODING ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH
TEXAS AND NORTHEAST MEXICO.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS TODAY
AND TONIGHT.
REPEATING THE 800 AM CDT POSITION...25.9 N...96.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...95 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...967 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1000 AM CDT.

Hurricane Dolly Advisory 12A

BULLETIN
HURRICANE DOLLY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 12A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042008
6:00 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2008
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS BEGINNING TO SPREAD ACROSS THE
COAST...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM
BROWNSVILLE TO CORPUS CHRISTI, AND FOR THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF
MEXICO FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO NORTHWARD TO THE BORDER BETWEEN MEXICO
AND THE UNITED STATES. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY
SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF CORPUS
CHRISTI TO SAN LUIS PASS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FROM LA
PESCA TO SOUTH OF RIO SAN FERNANDO.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND
WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
OFFICE.
AT 6:00 AM CDT, 11:00Z, THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DOLLY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.8 NORTH, LONGITUDE 96.6 WEST, OR ABOUT 55 MILES, 90 KM EAST OF
BROWNSVILLE TEXAS. DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH, 13
KM/HR, AND NORTHWESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION, WITH A SLIGHT
DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED, IS EXPECTED TODAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE
CENTER OF DOLLY WILL BE ALONG THE COAST NEAR THE TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER AROUND
MIDDAY TODAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH, 140 KM/HR, WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
DOLLY IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME
INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED, AND DOLLY COULD APPROACH CATEGORY TWO
INTENSITY WHEN IT REACHES THE COASTLINE LATER TODAY.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES, 35 KM FROM THE CENTER,
AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES, 220 KM. AN
AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT RECENTLY REPORTED A MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 972 MB, 28.70 INCHES. DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES, WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES
OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH
TEXAS AND NORTH EASTERN MEXICO OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THESE RAINS
WILL LIKELY CAUSE WIDESPREAD FLOODING ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH
TEXAS AND NORTHEAST MEXICO. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET
ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS, ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES, CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR
AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE
POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS TODAY AND TONIGHT.
REPEATING THE 6:00 AM CDT POSITION, 25.8 N, 96.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD,
NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS, 85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE, 972 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8:00 AM CDT, FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT
10:00
AM CDT.

Hurricane Dolly Advisory 11, Getting Stronger

BULLETIN
HURRICANE DOLLY ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042008
10:00 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008
DOLLY A LITTLE STRONGER. MOVING A LITTLE SLOWER...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM
BROWNSVILLE TO CORPUS CHRISTI, AND FOR THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF
MEXICO FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO NORTHWARD TO THE BORDER BETWEEN MEXICO
AND THE UNITED STATES. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY
SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF CORPUS
CHRISTI TO SAN LUIS PASS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FROM LA
PESCA TO SOUTH OF RIO SAN FERNANDO.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 10:00 PM CDT, 3:00Z, THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DOLLY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 25.1 NORTH, LONGITUDE 96.0 WEST OR ABOUT 110 MILES, 175 KM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS.
DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH, 15 KM/HR. A FURTHER
REDUCTION IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY. ON
THE FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF DOLLY WILL BE ALONG THE COAST
NEAR THE TEXAS/MEXICO BORDER AROUND MIDDAY WEDNESDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH, 130 KM/HR, WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. DOLLY IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED PRIOR TO LANDFALL.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES, 35 KM FROM THE CENTER,
AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES, 220 KM.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS SHOULD BEGIN TO REACH
THE COASTLINE WITHIN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED
FROM AIRCRAFT RECONNAISSANCE DATA
IS 981 MB, 28.97 INCHES.
DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10
INCHES, WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH
TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. COASTAL STORM SURGE
FLOODING OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS, ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES, CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.
REPEATING THE 10:00 PM CDT POSITION, 25.1 N, 96.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD, NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS, 80 MPH. MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE, 981 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1:00 AM CDT, FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE
ADVISORY AT 4:00
AM CDT.

Hurricane Local StatementsFrom Houston And Corpus Christy Texas

Urgent - immediate broadcast requested
Hurricane dolly local statement
National weather service corpus christi tx
801 pm central daylight time tue jul 22 2008
, dolly continues to move northwest toward the texas and mexican
Border,
Bays and waterways from baffin bay to port aransas-
Coastal waters baffin bay to port aransas out 20 nm-
Waters baffin bay to port aransas 20 to 60 nm-
801 pm central daylight time tue jul 22 2008
, hurricane warning remains in effect,
, new information,
The center of hurricane dolly is now located about 220 miles
Southeast of corpus christi texas. The center of dolly is on a
Track to make landfall either along the coast of extreme
Northeastern mexico or along the southernmost texas coast late
Wednesday morning.
, areas affected,
This statement recommends action to be taken by those with
Interests in the middle texas coastal waters from baffin bay to
Corpus christi.
, watches/warnings,
A hurricane warning remains in effect for the middle texas
Coastal waters from baffin bay to corpus christi until further
Notice.
, storm information,
At 700 pm central daylight time , the center of tropical storm dolly was
located
Near latitude 24.9 north, longitude 95.7 west or about 220 miles
Southeast of corpus christi texas. Movement is to the northwest
Near 11 mph. Maximum sustained winds are 75 mph. Minimum central
Pressure is 982 mb.
, precautionary/preparedness actions,
Mariners should be rushing their preparations for dolly to
Completion. Small craft are advised to remain in port.
, winds,
Tropical storms force winds are expected by late this evening.
Hurricane force winds are possible by early wednesday morning.
, probability of hurricane/tropical storm conditions,
The probability for tropical storm force winds over the middle
Texas coastal waters from baffin bay to port aransas is near 75
Percent. The probability for hurricane force winds over the
Middle texas coastal waters from baffin bay to port aransas is
Near 10 percent.
, tornadoes,
As the outer rain bands from dolly approach the western gulf
Coast late this evening and wednesday morning, the potential for
Waterspouts will increase significantly.
, next update,
The next statement will be issued around 11 pm central daylight time .
$$
Kleberg-nueces-
801 pm central daylight time tue jul 22 2008
, hurricane warning remains in effect,
, new information,
The center of hurricane dolly is now located about 220 miles
Southeast of corpus christi texas. The center of dolly is on a
Track to make landfall either along the coast of extreme
Northeastern mexico or along the southernmost texas coast late
Wednesday morning.
, areas affected,
This statement recommends action to be taken by residents in
Nueces and kleberg counties.
, watches/warnings,
A hurricane warning remains in effect for kleberg and nueces
Counties until further notice.
, storm information,
At 700 pm central daylight time , the center of tropical storm dolly was
located
Near latitude 24.9 north, longitude 95.7 west or about 220 miles
Southeast of corpus christi texas. Movement is to the northwest
Near 11 mph. Maximum sustained winds are 75 mph. Minimum central
Pressure is 982 mb.
, precautionary/preparedness actions,
Residents should be rushing preparations for dolly to completion.
Make sure to double check items in your emergency supply kit
Including having enough food and water for three or more days.
Make sure your vehicle has a full tank of gas. Secure mobile home
Tie downs. Store lawn furniture and other loose light weight
Objects such as garbage cans and garden tools. Make sure you have
Plenty of cash in case power goes out and atms do not work.
In a category 1 hurricane, unsecured light to moderate weight
Outdoor items will become projectiles, causing additional damage
And perhaps injury. Many areas will have power outages, hundreds
Of wires will fall, transformers will pop, and some power poles
Will be pulled down. Rotting large trees will be uprooted.
Numerous large branches of healthy trees will snap.
Finally, make sure to follow instructions issued by local
Officials.
, storm surge and storm tide,
Swells from dolly will begin to affect middle texas coast beaches
This evening. This will cause flooding of area beaches especially
During peak high tide. In addition, dangerous rip currents can
Be expected. Beach access roads in nueces county will be closed
To vehicles beginning at 6 pm this evening.
Water levels 2 to 3 feet above normal can be expected tonight and
On wednesday along north padre and mustang islands. High tides at
Port aransas are expected at 746 am wednesday morning and at 842
Pm wednesday night.
, winds,
Tropical storm force winds are expected across nueces and kleberg
Counties late tonight through wednesday evening. Hurricane force
Wind gusts are still remotely possible wednesday morning.
, probability of hurricane/tropical storm conditions,
The probability for tropical storm force winds over kleberg and
Nueces counties is around 70 percent. The probability for
Hurricane force winds over kleberg and nueces counties is less
Than 10 percent.
, inland flooding,
Locally heavy rainfall is expected tonight and will continue
Through thursday, as showers, squalls and rain bands from dolly
Move inland. Flooding will be possible, especially wednesday
Through thursday as excessive rainfall continues over south texas
And soils become saturated. Rainfall amounts averaging between 4
And 6 inches are expected over the next few days across nueces
And kleberg counties, with locally higher amounts.
, tornadoes,
The potential for isolated tornadoes will increase significantly
After midnight tonight and continue through wednesday afternoon
As the outer rain bands from dolly move inland.
, next update,
The next statement will be issued around 11 pm central daylight time .
Urgent - immediate broadcast requested
Hurricane dolly intermediate local statement
National weather service houston/galveston tx
743 pm central daylight time tue jul 22 2008
, dolly continues northwestward,
.at 700 pm central daylight time the center of hurricane dolly was located
Near latitude 24.9 north, longitude 95.7 west or about
270 miles south of palacios texas.
Dolly is moving toward the northwest near 11 mph and this
Motion is expected to continue until landfall of the center
Of dolly along the coast of northeastern mexico or extreme
Southern texas near midday wednesday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph with higher gusts.
Dolly is a category one hurricane on the saffir-simpson
Scale. Some additional strengthening is forecast before
Landfall.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 15 miles from
The center, and tropical storm force winds extend outward
Up to 160 miles. Tropical storm force winds should begin
To reach the coasts of northeastern mexico and southern
Texas later tonight.
The minimum central pressure just reported by an air force
Reserve unit reconnaissance aircraft was 982 mb.
Dolly is expected to produce total rain accumulations of 6
To 10 inches, with isolated amounts of 15 inches, over
Much of southern texas and northeastern mexico over the
Next few days.
Coastal storm surge flooding of 4 to 6 feet above normal
Tide levels, along with large and dangerous battering
Waves, can be expected near and to the north of where the
Center makes landfall.
A few tornadoes are possible overnight across the lower
And middle texas coasts.
Matagorda bay-
Waters from freeport to the matagorda ship channel 20 nm to 60 nm-
Waters from freeport to the matagorda ship channel out 20 nm-
743 pm central daylight time tue jul 22 2008
, tropical storm warning remains in effect,
, new information,
Higher expected coastal tide levels along the upper texas coast.
, areas affected,
This statement recommends actions to be taken by persons in the
Following counties or marine areas:
Matagorda bay, waters from freeport to the matagorda ship
Channel 20 nm to 60 nm, waters from freeport to the matagorda
Ship channel out 20 nm.
, watches/warnings,
The following watches and warnings are currently in effect for
This area:
Tropical storm warning.
, precautionary/preparedness actions,
Mariners should remain in port and monitor the weather situation.
Although tropical storm force winds are not forecast to affect
Our local bay and gulf waters due to current track forecast of
Dolly, be aware that if dolly takes a more northerly track over
The next 24 hours then there will be a higher probability of
Experiencing tropical storm force winds.
, storm surge and storm tide,
Easterly winds will increase this evening and become
Southeasterly wednesday. As the easterly winds increase in
Strength, tides levels will rise slowly. Tide levels may
Approach 4 to 4.5 feet by high tide on wednesday morning. The
Tide levels will be highly dependent on the track of dolly so
Please monitor this storm closely for any changes to intensity
Or direction.
Expected tide levels for the following locations.
Freeport,
Tue 6:35 pm. 3.6 feet.
Wed 7:44 am. 4.0 to 4.5 feet.
Wed 8:30 pm. 3.5 feet.
Port o connor,
Tue 6:07 pm. 2.5 feet.
Wed 10:13 am. 4.5 feet.
Wed 9:48 pm. 3.1 feet.
Note: tide levels are referenced from mean lower low water
, winds,
Over the coastal waters tropical storm force winds will be
Possible if the storm grows much larger or veers north from its
Current track. Later this afternoon, winds should strengthen to
20 to 30 knots with gusts to 40 knots and seas will build to 13
To 16 feet offshore and 7 to 10 feet nearshore through wednesday
Morning.
, next update,
This statement will be updated around 11 pm central daylight time .
$$
Brazoria-jackson-matagorda-
743 pm central daylight time tue jul 22 2008
, tropical storm warning remains in effect,
, new information,
Higher expected coastal tide levels along the upper texas coast.
, areas affected,
This statement recommends actions to be taken by persons in the
Following counties or marine areas:
Brazoria, jackson, matagorda.
, watches/warnings,
The following watches and warnings are currently in effect for
This area:
Tropical storm warning.
, precautionary/preparedness actions,
Residents should move unfastened items, such as garbage cans
And deck furniture, indoors or secure them. Although tropical
Storm force winds are not forecast to affect our local area due
To current forecast track of dolly, be aware that if dolly takes
A more northerly track over the next 24 hours then there will be
A higher probability of experiencing tropical storm force winds.
Persons near the beach should protect their boats and docks in
Anticipation of the higher tide levels.
, storm surge and storm tide,
Easterly winds will increase this evening and then become
Southeasterly wednesday. As the easterly winds increase in
Strength, tides levels will rise slowly. Tide levels may
Approach 4 to 5 feet by high tide on wednesday morning. Tide
Levels will be highly dependent on the track of dolly so please
Monitor this storm closely for any changes to intensity or
Direction.
As large swells move into the region expect widespread beach
Flooding erosion of dunes.
In addition with the elevated tide levels and large swells will
Come a moderate risk of strong rip currents and higher surf
Conditions. Swimming from the beaches in the gulf facing waters
Should be avoided. Please do not endanger yourself or others that
May need to rescue you should you flounder.
Expected tide levels for the following locations.
San luis pass,
Tue 7:10 pm. 2.8 feet.
Wed 8:19 am. 4.5 feet.
Wed 9:05 pm. 3.3 feet.
Freeport,
Tue 6:35 pm. 3.6 feet.
Wed 7:44 am. 4.5 feet.
Wed 8:30 pm. 3.5 feet.
Port o connor,
Tue 6:07 pm. 2.9 feet.
Wed 10:13 am. 4.5 to 5 feet.
Wed 9:48 pm. 3.1 feet.
, winds,
As the storm approaches, easterly winds will continue at 15 to
25 mph with higher gusts inland and around 25 mph with higher
Gusts along the coast and barrier islands.
, next update,
This statement will be updated around 11 pm central daylight time .

Hurricane Local Statements From The Brownsville, Texas Weather Office

Urgent - immediate broadcast requested
Hurricane local statement
National weather service Brownsville TX
8:36 pm central daylight time tue jul 22 2008
hurricane dolly bearing down on the Rio grande valley, damaging winds up to
60 mph with gusts to 80 mph or higher are
Expected near the coast by Wednesday morning. This includes south
Padre island, port isabel, port Mansfield, and sections of
Brownsville and los fresnos.
Most mobile homes will experience moderate to substantial damage.
Some of poor construction will be uninhabitable until repaired.
Houses of poor to average construction will have damage to
Shingles, siding, and gutters. Some windows will be blown out.
Unfastened home items of light to moderate weight will become
Airborne, causing additional damage and possible injury. Several
Power lines will be blown down producing local power outages that
Will affect entire neighborhoods.
Many large branches of healthy trees will be snapped, and
Rotting small to medium sized trees will be uprooted. Dozens of
Palm fronds will be blown down, and minor damage will occur to
Citrus orchards and newly planted lowland crops.
Storm synopsis: at 7:00 pm central daylight time , 0000z, the center of
hurricane
Dolly was located near latitude 24.9 north, longitude 95.7 west
Or about 130 miles, 205 km, east-southeast of Brownsville
Texas.
Dolly is moving toward the northwest near 11 mph. This motion
Should bring the core of dolly near northeastern Mexico or extreme
Southern Texas late morning or midday Wednesday.
Maximum sustained winds remain at 75 mph with higher gusts. Dolly
Is a category one hurricane on the saffir- simpson scale.
Additional strengthening is forecast before landfall.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 15 miles from the
Center, and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to
160 miles. Tropical storm force winds should begin to reach the
Coasts of northeast Mexico and southern Texas by 10 pm tonight.
Minimum central pressure reported by a hurricane hunter aircraft
Was 982 mb, 29.00 inches. Dolly is expected to produce total
Rain accumulations of 6 to 10 inches, with isolated amounts of 15
Inches, over much of south Texas and northeastern Mexico over the
Next few days.
Laguna madre from the port of Brownsville to the arroyo Colorado-
Laguna madre from the arroyo Colorado to 5 nm north of port
Mansfield TX-
Laguna madre from 5 nm north of port Mansfield to Baffin bay TX-
Coastal waters from port Mansfield to the Rio grande out 20 nm-
Coastal waters from Baffin bay to port Mansfield out 20 nm-
Waters from port Mansfield to the Rio grande extending from 20 to
60 nm-
Waters from Baffin bay to port Mansfield extending from 20 to
60 nm-
836 pm central daylight time tue jul 22 2008
, hurricane warning remains in effect,
, new information,
Outer rain bands are moving across the coastal waters with
Tropical storm force winds imminent. Hurricane force gusts winds
Will reach the 60 nm marker around midnight with sustained
Hurricane winds between 2 and 5 am, perhaps continuing through
Mid morning Wednesday before diminishing back to tropical storm
Force for the remainder of the day on Wednesday.
Seas will build to 15 to 20 feet or perhaps a bit higher late
Tonight and continue through Wednesday, along with very rough
Conditions and significant white caps. Beaufort scale 12
Conditions are likely within the core of the strongest winds
During this period.
Mariners should rush to completion last minute preparations
Immediately! Those out in the gulf should seek safe harbor as
Soon as possible, and remain in port through the duration of
Dolly`s winds and seas. Those in port should finish moving their
Craft to safe storage or securely tying down boats and raising
Them sufficiently above the water level before 9 pm tonight.
, storm surge and storm tide,
Tides are now running near 2 foot above normal at port
Isabel, and additional gradual rises are expected overnight with
A final surge arriving near or around time of the lower high tide
Of the day early on Wednesday.
At south padre island, the tide is predicted to be 1 foot above
Mean low lower water, with similar values predicted at port
Isabel at around the same time. At this time, the expected surge
Will range from 4 to 7 feet, with the highest values expected to
Be near the Brownsville ship channel. Tides will continue to run
Above normal through the day as surface winds turn to the
East, continuing to push additional water onshore.
All residents living on prone shorelines can expect some water
Incursion into their homes. Those in typically flood prone areas
May have a foot or two of water in their homes, causing minor
Damage. Shoreline roads may briefly close with up to two feet of
Water across, except those in flood prone areas which could have
Upwards of 4 feet of water across them. Moderate beach erosion is
Possible, becoming likely if conditions extend through multiple
High tide cycles.
Conditions will be worsened by battering waves. Such waves will
Increase the likelihood of property damage, especially to
Structures on or very near the shoreline.
, next update,
This statement will be updated around midnight.
Kenedy-coastal willacy-coastal cameron-
8:36 pm central daylight time tue jul 22 2008
hurricane warning remains in effect,
new information,
Dolly, a minimal category 1 hurricane, is moving steadily
Toward the coast. Strong rain bands are now 25 to 50 miles east of
South padre island moving steadily east. These bands will have
Tropical storm force winds in excess of 40 mph with gusts as high
As 60 mph or greater. Tornadoes are also possible as these bands
Move inland. As the core nears the coast later tonight and
Wednesday morning significant impacts from hurricane force winds
Are anticipated. Residents should have completed preparedness
Activities. Mobile home or recreational vehicle owners should
Evacuate
areas affected
This statement recommends actions to be taken by persons near the
Coast of the lower rio grande valley including south padre
Island, port isabel, port mansfield, and bayview.
watches/warnings
There is a flash flood watch in effect from wednesday morning through
Thursday evening.
storm surge and storm tide
Tides are now running near 2 foot above normal at port
Isabel, and additional gradual rises are expected overnight with A final
surge arriving near or around time of the lower high tide
Of the day early on wednesday.
At south padre island, the tide is predicted to be 1 foot above
Mean low lower water, with similar values predicted at port
Isabel at around the same time. At this time, the expected surge
Will range from 4 to 7 feet, with the highest values expected to
Be near the brownsville ship channel. Tides will continue to run
Above normal through the day as surface winds turn to the
East, continuing to push additional water onshore.
All residents living on prone shorelines can expect some water
Incursion into their homes. Those in typically flood prone areas
May have a foot or two of water in their homes, causing minor
Damage. Shoreline roads may briefly close with up to two feet of
Water across, except those in flood prone areas which could have
Upwards of 4 feet of water across them. Moderate beach erosion is
Possible, becoming likely if conditions extend through multiple
High tide cycles.
Conditions will be worsened by battering waves. Such waves will
Increase the likelihood of property damage, especially to
Structures on or very near the shoreline.
, winds,
Northeast winds will continue to increase this evening, reaching
25 to 40 mph by 9 pm. Sustained tropical storm winds, 40 to 50
Mph, with higher gusts will reach the coast between 10 pm and
Midnight. Hurricane force sustained winds are possible between 4
And 7 am as the inner eyewall reaches the coast. In all
Areas, frequent hurricane force gusts are expected from just
Before daybreak until just before noon. Sustained tropical storm
Force winds are expected to continue right through most of the
Day, with direction shifting from north to east.
Dangerous winds are possible!
Poorly constructed or unsecured mobile homes may be destroyed.
Others may receive substantial damage to roofs, walls, and
Windows, and could become uninhabitable. Houses of poor to
Average construction may have partial wall and roof failure, as
Well as blown out windows. Many lanai screens and pool cages will
Have damage, some could be destroyed. Unsecured light to
Moderate weight outdoor items will become projectiles, causing
Additional damage and possible injury. Many areas could have
Power
Outages, hundreds of wires may fall, transformers could
Pop, and some power poles might be pulled down.
Rotting large trees will be uprooted, most common on saturated
Ground. Numerous large branches of healthy trees will snap, and
Moderate damage is possible in citrus orchards. Up to one half of
Newly planted crops may be damaged.
, inland flooding,
Intermittent heavy rain, with local downpours will arrive with
The outer rain bands between 10 and 1 am, with torrential
Rainfall becoming more frequent between 4 and 7 am and likely
Continuing for up to 6 hours. 6 to 8 inches of rain is possible
Just north of the center in the core of the inner eyewall, and 3
To 6 inches along and just south of the immediate center. Flash or
Areal flooding is likely to begin soon after daybreak, in poor
Drainage areas first and in other areas later. The potential
Exists for more widespread flooding by wednesday night and into
Thursday especially if dolly continues to slow down.
Should more than 10 inches of rain fall in a short period, there
Is a chance for resaca flooding in some areas. A flood watch is
In effect.
Extensive flooding is expected wednesday through thursday!
Persons living near or in poor drainage locations should prepare
For possible evacuation later !today or tonight or next day!.
In these areas, significant property damage will occur, and
Some power outages are likely. Minor property damage is possible
Elsewhere.
Water levels in very poor drainage areas will approach 7 feet.
Other poor drainage locations will have rises between 3 and 5
Feet. Elsewhere, expect water rises to near 2 feet. Numerous
Main roads will be closed. Driving is highly discouraged except
For emergencies.
, tornadoes,
Isolated tornadoes and water spouts can are possible as the first
Significant rain bands move along the coast and inland between 8
Pm and 11 pm. An increase chance of tornadoes are possible as the
Storms center approaches the coast wednesday morning.
, beach erosion,
Seas continue to rise quickly just offshore, and waves are
Reaching past the dune line along south padre island as of this
Evening. Significant beach erosion is possible overnight as north
To northeast winds continue to drive increasing waves into the
Coast. Should dolly slow further, severe beach erosion could
Develop wednesday and wednesday night.
, next update,
This statement will be updated around midnight.

Hurricane Dolly Advisory 10

BULLETIN
HURRICANE DOLLY ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042008
4:00 PM CDT TUE JUL 22 2008
DOLLY BECOMES A HURRICANE. THE SECOND OF THE 2008 HURRICANE
SEASON...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM
BROWNSVILLE TO CORPUS CHRISTI, AND FOR THE NORTHEAST COAST OF
MEXICO FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO NORTHWARD TO THE BORDER BETWEEN MEXICO
AND THE UNITED STATES. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY
SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF CORPUS
CHRISTI TO SAN LUIS PASS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM LA
PESCA TO SOUTH OF RIO SAN FERNANDO.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND
WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER
OFFICE.
AT 4:00 PM CDT, 21:00Z, THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DOLLY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.6 NORTH, LONGITUDE 95.3 WEST, OR ABOUT 165 MILES, 265 KM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS. DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST
NEAR 10 MPH, 17 KM/HR. THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CORE OF DOLLY NEAR NORTH
EASTERN MEXICO OR EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS ON WEDNESDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH, 120 KM/HR, WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. DOLLY IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST BEFORE LANDFALL. HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES, 30 KM FROM THE CENTER, AND TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES, 260 KM. TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS SHOULD BEGIN TO REACH THE COASTS OF NORTHEAST MEXICO AND
SOUTHERN TEXAS LATER TONIGHT.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 986 MB,
29.12 INCHES. DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO
10 INCHES, WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES OVER MUCH OF SOUTH TEXAS AND
NORTH EASTERN MEXICO OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF
4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS, ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS
BATTERING WAVES, CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. A FEW
TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE LOWER AND MIDDLE TEXAS COASTS.
REPEATING THE 4:00 PM CDT POSITION, 24.6 N, 95.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD,
NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS, 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE, 986 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 7:00 PM CDT, FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT
10:00 PM CDT.
HURRICANE DOLLY DISCUSSION NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042008
5:00 PM EDT TUE JUL 22 2008
DOLLY IS BEING CLOSELY MONITORED BY THE NWS RADAR FROM BROWNSVILLE, NOAA
BUOYS, SATELLITE AND VERY IMPORTANTLY, BY AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER
AIRCRAFT. THE RADAR IS MEASURING 75 KNOTS AT ABOUT 20 THOUSAND FEET AND SHOW
NUMEROUS RAINBANDS ALREADY APPROACHING THE COASTS OF NORTHEAST MEXICO AND
SOUTHERN TEXAS.
DVORAK ESTIMATES SUGGEST THAT DOLLY IS A HURRICANE AND WIND DATA JUST
RECEIVED FROM THE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT HAVE CONFIRMED IT. INITIAL
INTENSITY IS 65 KNOTS. WITH THE PREVAILING LOW SHEAR, DOLLY IS FORECAST TO
REACH THE COAST A LITTLE BIT STRONGER.
DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 9 KNOTS. THIS GENERAL
TRACK SHOULD CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS, WITH A SMALL DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS TRACK, THE CORE OF DOLLY SHOULD BE NEAR THE US/MEXICO
BORDER WITHIN THE WARNING AREA ON WEDNESDAY. DOLLY IS A LARGE CYCLONE AND
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE AREA TONIGHT. AFTER
LANDFALL, DOLLY SHOULD TURN MORE TO THE WEST AS A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE BUILDS
TO THE NORTH OF THE CYCLONE. MOST OF THE TRACK MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT
BRINGING THE CORE OF DOLLY INLAND IN ABOUT 24 HOURS. IT SHOULD BE
RE-EMPHASIZED THAT, DUE TO THE INHERENT UNCERTAINTIES, ONE MUST NOT FOCUS ON
THE EXACT LANDFALL POINT IN THIS FORECAST. DUE TO THE SLOW MOTION AT
LANDFALL, DOLLY COULD DUMP VERY HEAVY RAINS IN THE AREA.
This information is provided as a public service from the National Hurricane
Center http://www.nhc.noaa.gov orr http://hurricanes.gov

Tropical Storm Dolly Advisory 7, Hurricane Warnings Issued

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM DOLLY ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042008
10:00 PM CDT MON JUL 21 2008
HURRICANE WARNINGS ISSUED...
AT 10 PM CDT, 3:00 UTC, A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM
BROWNSVILLE TO PORT O'CONNOR TEXAS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY
SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
AT 10 PM CDT, A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM NORTH
OF PORT O'CONNOR TO SAN LUIS PASS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
AT 10 PM CDT, THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE
WARNING FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO NORTHWARD TO THE BORDER BETWEEN
MEXICO AND THE UNITED STATES.
AT 10 PM CDT, THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH FROM LA PESCA TO SOUTH OF RIO SAN
FERNANDO. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA, GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 10:00 PM CDT, 3:00Z, THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.1 NORTH, LONGITUDE 92.8 WEST, OR ABOUT 320
MILES, 515 KM EAST OF LA PESCA MEXICO AND ABOUT 435 MILES, 695
KM SOUTHEAST OF CORPUS CHRISTI TEXAS. DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR
17 MPH, 28 KM/HR, A TURN TO
THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TOMORROW WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED, FOLLOWED BY A TURN TO THE NORTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY. ON THIS
TRACK, THE CENTER OF DOLLY SHOULD BE VERY NEAR THE WESTERN COAST
OF THE GULF OF MEXICO ON WEDNESDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH, 85 KM/HR, WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE PRIOR TO LANDFALL. TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES, 325 KM FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 999 MB, 29.50 INCHES.
DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8
INCHES, WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES OVER MUCH OF SOUTH
TEXAS AND NORTH EASTERN MEXICO OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. DOLLY IS
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES OVER THE
NORTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA. COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4-6 FEET ABOVE
NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS, ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES, CAN BE
EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.
REPEATING THE 1000 PM CDT POSITION, 23.1 N, 92.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD, WEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS, 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE, 999 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE
CENTER AT 1:00 AM CDT, FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4:00
AM CDT.

Tropical Storm Dolly Advisory 6

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM DOLLY ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042008
400 PM CDT MON JUL 21 2008
...DOLLY EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN OVER THE WESTERN GULF...
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO MEXICO
NORTHWARD...ACROSS THE BORDER BETWEEN MEXICO AND THE UNITED
STATES...AND ALONG THE TEXAS COAST TO PORT O'CONNOR. A HURRICANE
WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM LA
PESCA NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF RIO SAN FERNANDO...AND FOR THE TEXAS
COAST FROM NORTH OF PORT O'CONNOR TO SAN LUIS PASS. A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
WARNINGS WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE WATCH AREAS
LATER TONIGHT.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 400 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.2 WEST OR ABOUT 420
MILES...680 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE COAST OF THE LOWER RIO
GRANDE VALLEY OF SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO.
DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH...30 KM/HR. A
GENERAL WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS...WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THIS
TRACK...THE CENTER OF DOLLY WILL BE MOVING OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN
GULF OF MEXICO TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...AND WILL BE NEAR THE WESTERN
GULF OF MEXICO COAST BY WEDNESDAY.
REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST...AND DOLLY IS FORECAST TO
BECOME A HURRICANE WITHIN THE NEXT DAY OR TWO BEFORE REACHING THE
WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.
DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF TWO TO FOUR
INCHES ACROSS THE NORTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS UP TO SIX INCHES.
REPEATING THE 400 PM CDT POSITION...23.1 N...91.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 700 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1000
PM CDT.

The First Advisories on Newly Formed Tropical Storm Dolly

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM DOLLY SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042008
11:45 AM EDT SUN JUL 20 2008
FOURTH TROPICAL STORM OF THE ATLANTIC SEASON FORMS IN THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN
SEA...
AT 11:45 AM EDT, 15:45 UTC, THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO FROM THE
BORDER WITH BELIZE TO CAMPECHE MEXICO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING
MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND
WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 11:45 AM EDT, 15:45Z, THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.4 NORTH, LONGITUDE 84.2 WEST, OR ABOUT 270 MILES, 435 KM EAST OF
CHETUMAL MEXICO, AND ABOUT 230 MILES, 365
KM SOUTHEAST OF COZUMEL MEXICO. DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 17
MPH, 28 KM HR. A NORTHWESTWARD OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS, WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON
THIS TRACK, THE CENTER OF DOLLY WILL MOVE ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO TONIGHT AND EMERGE OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO ON MONDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH, 75 KM HR, WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE TODAY BEFORE DOLLY REACHES THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA. SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST ON MONDAY ONCE DOLLY EMERGES OVER
THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES, 280 KM FROM THE
CENTER. DOLLY COULD PRODUCE WINDS NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE, ESPECIALLY IN
GUSTS, OVER THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA TODAY.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY A NOAA RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT WAS 1008 MB, 29.77 INCHES. DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL OF
4 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS THE NORTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO AND WESTERN
CUBA, WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS UP TO 10 INCHES. AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES IS
EXPECTED IN THE CAYMAN ISLANDS, WITH A STORM TOTAL OF UP TO 8 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 11:45 AM EDT POSITION, 18.4 N...84.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD
NORTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS, 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE, 1008 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2:00 PM EDT, FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT
5:00 PM EDT.
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM DOLLY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 1A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042008
2:00 PM EDT SUN JUL 20 2008
DOLLY ORGANIZING OVER THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN...
AT 2:00 PM EDT, 18:00 UTC, THE GOVERNMENT OF BELIZE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH FOR THE COAST OF BELIZE FROM BELIZE CITY
NORTHWARD TO THE BORDER WITH MEXICO. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA, IN THIS CASE, WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO FROM THE BORDER WITH BELIZE TO CAMPECHE MEXICO. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND
WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 2:00 PM EDT, 18:00Z, THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.6 NORTH, LONGITUDE 84.5 WEST, OR ABOUT 250 MILES, 400 KM EAST OF
CHETUMAL MEXICO, AND ABOUT 200 MILES, 320
KM SOUTHEAST OF COZUMEL MEXICO. DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 15
MPH, 24 KM/HR. A NORTHWESTWARD OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS, WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED.
ON THIS TRACK, THE CENTER OF DOLLY WILL MOVE ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO TONIGHT AND EMERGE OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO ON MONDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH, 75 KM/HR, WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE TODAY BEFORE DOLLY REACHES THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA. SLOW STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST ON MONDAY ONCE DOLLY EMERGES OVER
THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO
175 MILES, 280 KM FROM THE CENTER. DOLLY COULD PRODUCE WINDS NEAR TROPICAL
STORM FORCE, ESPECIALLY IN GUSTS, OVER THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA TODAY.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 1008 MB, 29.77 INCHES. DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO
PRODUCE RAINFALL OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS THE NORTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO AND WESTERN CUBA, WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS UP TO 10 INCHES. AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES IS
EXPECTED IN THE CAYMAN ISLANDS, WITH A STORM TOTAL OF UP TO 8 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 2:00 PM EDT POSITION, 18.6 N, 84.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD,
NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS, 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE, 1008 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5:00 PM EDT.
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM DOLLY ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042008
5:00 PM EDT SUN JUL 20 2008
DOLLY HEADING TOWARD THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO FROM THE BORDER WITH BELIZE TO CAMPECHE MEXICO. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF BELIZE FROM
BELIZE CITY NORTHWARD TO THE BORDER WITH MEXICO. A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE
WATCH AREA, IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. FOR STORM
INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND
WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 5:00 PM EDT, 21:00Z, THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.9 NORTH, LONGITUDE 85.0 WEST, OR ABOUT 220 MILES, 350 KM EAST OF
CHETUMAL MEXICO AND ABOUT 165 MILES, 265
KM SOUTHEAST OF COZUMEL MEXICO. DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14
MPH, 22 KM/HR. A NORTHWESTWARD OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS, WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
EXPECTED BY TUESDAY. ON THIS TRACK, THE CENTER OF DOLLY WILL MOVE ACROSS
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO TONIGHT, EMERGE OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF OF
MEXICO ON MONDAY, AND MOVE INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF ON TUESDAY.
DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 45 MPH, 75 KM/HR, WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLIGHT
STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT BEFORE DOLLY REACHES THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY AFTER
DOLLY EMERGES OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES, 280 KM FROM THE
CENTER. DOLLY COULD PRODUCE WINDS NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE, ESPECIALLY IN
GUSTS, OVER THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA TONIGHT.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY THE RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT WAS 1008 MB, 29.77 INCHES. DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL OF
4 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS THE NORTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO AND WESTERN
CUBA, WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS UP TO 10 INCHES. AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES IS
EXPECTED IN THE CAYMAN ISLANDS, WITH A STORM TOTAL OF UP TO 8 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 5:00 PM EDT POSITION, 18.9 N, 85.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD,
NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS, 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE, 1008 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8:00 PM EDT, FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT
11:00 PM EDT.
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM DOLLY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 2A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042008
8:00 PM EDT SUN JUL 20 2008
DOLLY CONTINUES TOWARD THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO FROM THE BORDER WITH BELIZE TO CAMPECHE MEXICO. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF BELIZE FROM
BELIZE CITY NORTHWARD TO THE BORDER WITH MEXICO. A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE
WATCH AREA, IN THIS CASE, WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 8:00 PM EDT, 00:00Z, THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.3 NORTH, LONGITUDE 85.5 WEST, OR ABOUT 125 MILES,
200 KM SOUTHEAST OF COZUMEL MEXICO. DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST
NEAR 14 MPH, 22 KM/HR. A NORTHWESTWARD OR WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS, WITH A GRADUAL DECREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED EXPECTED BY TUESDAY. ON THIS TRACK, THE CENTER OF DOLLY WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO TONIGHT, EMERGE OVER THE SOUTHERN
GULF OF MEXICO ON MONDAY AND MOVE INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN
GULF ON TUESDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH, 75 KM/HR, WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE TONIGHT BEFORE DOLLY REACHES
THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST ON MONDAY
AND TUESDAY AFTER DOLLY EMERGES OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES, 280 KM
FROM THE CENTER. DOLLY COULD PRODUCE WINDS NEAR TROPICAL STORM
FORCE, ESPECIALLY IN GUSTS, OVER THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA TONIGHT. ESTIMATED
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB, 29.74 INCHES.
DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS THE
NORTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO AND WESTERN CUBA, WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS UP TO 10 INCHES. AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES IS EXPECTED IN THE
CAYMAN ISLANDS, WITH A STORM TOTAL OF UP
TO 8 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 8:00 PM EDT POSITION, 19.3 N, 85.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD,
NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS, 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE, 1007 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11:00 PM EDT.
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM DOLLY ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042008
11:00 PM EDT SUN JUL 20 2008
DOLLY APPROACHES THE YUCATAN...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO FROM THE BORDER WITH BELIZE TO CAMPECHE MEXICO. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF BELIZE FROM
BELIZE CITY NORTHWARD TO THE BORDER WITH MEXICO. A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE
WATCH AREA, IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 11:00 PM EDT, 3:00Z, THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.6 NORTH, LONGITUDE 85.8 WEST, OR ABOUT 180 MILES,
290 KM EAST-NORTHEAST OF CHETUMAL MEXICO AND ABOUT 95 MILES, 150 KM
SOUTHEAST OF COZUMEL MEXICO. DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14
MPH, 22 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL HEADING WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED
TOMORROW. THE CENTER OF DOLLY IS FORECAST TO CROSS THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA AND EMERGE INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH, 85 KM/HR, WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST TONIGHT, BUT
STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR AFTER DOLLY ENTERS THE GULF OF
MEXICO. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES, 280 KM
FROM THE CENTER. DOLLY COULD PRODUCE WINDS NEAR TROPICAL STORM
FORCE, ESPECIALLY IN GUSTS OVER THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA TONIGHT.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB, 29.74 INCHES. DOLLY IS
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS THE
NORTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO AND IN WESTERN CUBA WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS UP TO 10 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 11:00 PM EDT POSITION, 19.6 N, 85.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD, NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS, 50 MPH. MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE, 1007 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2:00 AM EDT, FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5:00
AM EDT.
This information is provided as a public service from the National Hurricane
Center http://www.nhc.noaa.gov orr http://hurricanes.gov

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 712

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 712
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
900 PM CDT SUN JUL 20 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN IOWA
CENTRAL AND EASTERN NEBRASKA
FAR SOUTHERN SOUTH DAKOTA
EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING FROM 900 PM UNTIL
400 AM CDT.
HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTH
NORTHWEST OF BURWELL NEBRASKA TO 20 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF
DENISON IOWA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
DISCUSSION...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY
WIDESPREAD ACROSS WW THIS EVENING...WITH PRIMARY THREAT FROM
POSSIBLE DERECHO MCS EVOLVING AND TRACKING ESEWD ALONG SURFACE FRONT
INTO ERN NEB/WRN IA BY 06-09Z. OTHER ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS CAN BE
EXPECTED AHEAD OF THIS MCS NEAR AND NORTH OF THE FRONT. WIND DAMAGE
MAY BECOME WIDESPREAD/SIGNIFICANT WITH MAIN MCS. LARGE HAIL /SOME
OF WHICH COULD BECOME QUITE LARGE/DAMAGING/ IS ALSO
POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY WITH STORMS AHEAD OF MAIN LINE.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 27035.
...EVANS
IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUENA VISTA CHEROKEE CRAWFORD
HARRISON IDA MONONA
PLYMOUTH POTTAWATTAMIE SAC
SHELBY WOODBURY
NEBRASKA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ANTELOPE BOONE BOYD
BURT BUTLER CEDAR
COLFAX CUMING CUSTER
DAKOTA DIXON DODGE
DOUGLAS GARFIELD GREELEY
HOLT HOWARD KNOX
MADISON MERRICK NANCE
PIERCE PLATTE POLK
SARPY SAUNDERS SHERMAN
STANTON THURSTON VALLEY
WASHINGTON WAYNE WHEELER
SOUTH DAKOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BON HOMME CHARLES MIX CLAY
GREGORY UNION YANKTON

Bertha Weakens To A Tropical Storm

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA ADVISORY NUMBER 68
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022008
1100 PM AST SAT JUL 19 2008
...BERTHA WEAKENS...
AT 1100 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 45.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 41.8 WEST OR ABOUT 545
MILES...875 KM...EAST OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND.
BERTHA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 24 MPH...39 KM/HR. A
CONTINUED NORTHEASTWARD MOTION WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...UNTIL BERTHA IS
ABSORBED BY A LARGER WEATHER SYSTEM.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. VERY SLOW WEAKENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO
WHILE BERTHA BEGINS TO LOSE TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES...370 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 990 MB...29.23 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 1100 PM AST POSITION...45.7 N...41.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 24 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
500 AM AST.

Tornado Watch 706

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 706
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
800 PM CDT SAT JUL 19 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN AND EASTERN IOWA
FAR NORTHWEST ILLINOIS
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY NIGHT FROM 800 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50 STATUTE
MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTH OF MOLINE
ILLINOIS TO 50 MILES SOUTH OF DENISON IOWA. FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...BROKEN LINE OF SUPERCELLS/BOW ECHOES WILL CONTINUE
SAGGING SSEWD ACROSS WW THROUGH THE EVENING WITHIN A VERY UNSTABLE
AIR MASS. WSWLY LLJ FROM 25-30 KT IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP THIS
EVENING ACROSS THIS REGION...ENHANCING LOW LEVEL SHEAR AND POTENTIAL
FOR TORNADOES. DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED LARGE HAIL WILL BE
ADDITIONAL HAZARDS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 34035.
..EVANS
. IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ADAMS APPANOOSE
AUDUBON BENTON BUCHANAN
CASS CEDAR CLARKE
CLINTON DALLAS DAVIS
DECATUR DELAWARE DES MOINES
DUBUQUE GUTHRIE HENRY
IOWA JACKSON JASPER
JEFFERSON JOHNSON JONES
KEOKUK LEE LINN
LOUISA LUCAS MADISON
MAHASKA MARION MONROE
MUSCATINE POLK POWESHIEK
RINGGOLD SCOTT TAYLOR
UNION VAN BUREN WAPELLO
WARREN WASHINGTON WAYNE
ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MERCER ROCK ISLAND

Tornado Watch 705

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 705
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
525 PM CDT SAT JUL 19 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN IOWA
SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA
CENTRAL AND WESTERN WISCONSIN
EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 525 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
WAUSAU WISCONSIN TO 40 MILES SOUTH OF FORT DODGE IOWA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
DISCUSSION...STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ESEWD
ACROSS WW THIS EVENING...INTO MODERATE TO STRONG INSTABILITY. LATE
AFTERNOON STORMS HAVE BEEN LOOSELY ORGANIZED IN THE FORM OF CLUSTERS
AND A FEW SUPERCELLS...WITH SHEAR REMAINING SUPPORTIVE OF SUPERCELLS
AND POSSIBLE EVOLUTION INTO BOW SEGMENTS THIS EVENING. LARGE HAIL
AND DAMAGING WINDS...ALONG WITH HEAVY RAINFALL...ARE EXPECTED OVER
MUCH OF THE WATCH AREA. IN ADDITION...ISOLATED TORNADOES REMAIN
POSSIBLE AS STORMS INTERACT WITH SURFACE BOUNDARY OVER CENTRAL WI
AND INGEST VERY UNSTABLE AIR ACROSS NRN IA.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28030.
...EVANS
IOWA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALLAMAKEE BLACK HAWK BOONE
BREMER BUTLER CALHOUN
CARROLL CERRO GORDO CHICKASAW
CLAYTON CRAWFORD FAYETTE
FLOYD FRANKLIN GREENE
GRUNDY HAMILTON HANCOCK
HARDIN HOWARD HUMBOLDT
MARSHALL MITCHELL POCAHONTAS
SAC STORY TAMA
WEBSTER WINNESHIEK WORTH
WRIGHT
MINNESOTA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FILLMORE HOUSTON WINONA
WISCONSIN COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAMS BUFFALO CLARK
CRAWFORD JACKSON JUNEAU
LA CROSSE MARATHON MONROE
PORTAGE SHAWANO TAYLOR
TREMPEALEAU VERNON WAUPACA
WAUSHARA WOOD