Tropical Storm Gustav Advisory 11

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072008
5 PM EDT WED AUG 27 2008
GUSTAV A LITTLE WEAKER.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR HAITI FROM THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC-HAITI BORDER WESTWARD TO LE MOLE SAINT NICHOLAS. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING
AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ARE IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA. A
HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR CUBA FOR THE PROVINCES OF
GUANTANAMO, SANTIAGO DE CUBA AND GRANMA.
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF LAS TUNAS AND
HOLGUIN AND ALL OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. INTERESTS IN CENTRAL AND WESTERN CUBA
SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF GUSTAV. FOR STORM INFORMATION
SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS,
PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 5 PM EDT, 2100Z, THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GUSTAV WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.1 NORTH, LONGITUDE 74.4 WEST OR 90 MILES, 150 KM SOUTHEAST OF
GUANTANAMO CUBA. GUSTAV IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH, 6
KM/HR. A WEST TO WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO
WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, GUSTAV
SHOULD PASS BETWEEN JAMAICA AND THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF CUBA ON THURSDAY.
HOWEVER, ANY DEVIATION TO THE LEFT OF THE FORECAST TRACK COULD BRING THE
CENTER OF GUSTAV VERY NEAR JAMAICA.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH, 85 KM/HR, WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLOW
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST ONCE GUSTAV MOVES AWAY FROM HAITI AND THE STORM
COULD REGAIN HURRICANE STRENGTH WITHIN THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES, 85 KM FROM THE CENTER.
AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF
999 MB, 29.50 INCHES.
GUSTAV IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES
OVER HISPANIOLA, EASTERN CUBA, JAMAICA AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS, WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF UP TO 25 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY
PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. COASTAL STORM SURGE
FLOODING OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG WITH LARGE AND
DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES CAN BE EXPECTED IN AREAS OF ONSHORE WINDS IN THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA.
REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION, 19.1 N, 74.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD,
WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS, 50 MPH. MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE, 999 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM EDT, FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE
ADVISORY AT 11 PM EDT.