Tropical Storm Fay Advisory 4A, Storm Still A Threat To Florida

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062008
2:00 PM EDT SAT AUG 16 2008
CENTER OF FAY MOVING WESTWARD BETWEEN HAITI AND CUBA...
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF CAMAGUEY,
CIEGO DE AVILA AND SANCTI SPIRITUS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA, GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF
CAMAGUEY, LAS TUNAS, HOLGUIN, GRANMA, SANTIAGO DE CUBA AND GUANTANMO. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS, THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE ENTIRE COAST OF HAITI. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS, JAMAICA
AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA, GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
INTERESTS IN WESTERN CUBA, THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR
AREA, INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 2:00 PM EDT, 18:00 UTC, THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.2 NORTH, LONGITUDE 74.9 WEST, OR ABOUT 50 MILES, 80 KM
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF GUANTANAMO CUBA AND ABOUT 175 MILES, 280 KM
WEST-NORTHWEST OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI. FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR
16 MPH, 26 KM/HR. A TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY,
FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST ON SUNDAY. ON THIS TRACK, THE
CENTER OF FAY WILL BE NEAR OR OVER THE SOUTHERN COAST OF EASTERN AND CENTRAL
CUBA TONIGHT AND SUNDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH, 75 KM/HR, WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS, AND FAY COULD BE
NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH AS IT APPROACHES CENTRAL CUBA ON SUNDAY. AN AIR
FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS CURRENTLY ENROUTE TO INVESTIGATE
FAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES, 165 KM FROM THE
CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB, 29.74 INCHES.
TIDES OF 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA IN
AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW. FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER HISPANIOLA, EASTERN AND CENTRAL CUBA,
JAMAICA AND THE NORTHERN CAYMAN ISLANDS, WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15
INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD
SLIDES.
REPEATING THE 2:00 PM EDT POSITION, 19.2 N, 74.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD, WEST
NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS, 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE,
1007 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 5:00 PM EDT.