BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 1A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062008
8:00 PM AST FRI AUG 15 2008
TROPICAL STORM FAY MOVING WESTWARD ACROSS HISPANIOLA... A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC AND FOR THE SOUTH COAST EAST OF SAN PEDRO DE MACORIS. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH COAST OF HAITI FROM GONAIVES
NORTHWARD FOR THE TURK AND CAICOS ISLANDS AND FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF
GUANTANAMO, SANTIAGO DE CUBA AND GRANMA. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT
TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF HOLGUIN
AND LAS TUNAS, AND FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA, GENERALLY
WITHIN 36 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, INCLUDING
POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR
LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 8:00 PM AST, 0000 UTC, THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS ESTIMATED TO
BE INLAND OVER HISPANIOLA NEAR LATITUDE 18.6 NORTH, LONGITUDE 70.2 WEST, OR
ABOUT 35 MILES, 55 KM WEST-NORTHWEST OF SANTO DOMINGO IN THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC AND ABOUT 335 MILES, 540 KM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUANTANAMO CUBA. FAY
IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14 MPH, 22 KM/HR. A GENERAL MOTION TOWARD
THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK, THE CENTER OF FAY WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS HISPANIOLA TONIGHT AND
SATURDAY AND PASS NEAR OR OVER EASTERN CUBA SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY.
SHIP OBSERVATIONS AND DATA FROM A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE INDICATE THAT THE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH, 75 KM/HR, WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THESE WINDS ARE OCCURING MAINLY OVER WATER TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF
THE CENTER. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED WHILE THE CENTER
OF FAY IS OVER HISPANIOLA. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO
85 MILES, 140 KM PRIMARILY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB, 29.77 INCHES.
TIDES OF 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA IN
AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW. FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER HISPANIOLA AND EASTERN CUBA, WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES. THESE RAINS MAY PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.
REPEATING THE 8:00 PM AST POSITION, 18.6 N, 70.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD, WEST
NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS, 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE,
1008 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 11:00 PM AST.
Friday, August 15, 2008
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