Friday, August 15, 2008

Tropical Storm Fay Advisory 1, Storm May Impact Florida Next Tuesday

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM FAY ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062008
5:00 PM AST FRI AUG 15 2008
TROPICAL STORM FAY FORMS. SIXTH ATLANTIC STORM OF THE SEASON...
REPORTS FROM NOAA AND AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT THE LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER THE MONA PASSAGE BECAME A TROPICAL STORM AS
IT MOVED INTO THE EASTERN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. AT 5 PM AST, 21:00 UTC, THE
GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FOR THE ENTIRE NORTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
AND FOR THE SOUTH COAST EAST OF SAN PEDRO DE MACORIS. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH COAST OF HAITI FROM GONAIVES
NORTHWARD. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
AT 5 PM AST, 21:00 UTC, THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR THE PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO, SANTIAGO DE CUBA AND GRANMA. AT 5
PM AST, 21:00 UTC, THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
FOR THE PROVINCES OF HOLGUIN AND LAS TUNAS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS
THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA, GENERALLY
WITHIN 36 HOURS. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, INCLUDING
POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR
LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 5:00 PM AST, 21:00 UTC, THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.5 NORTH, LONGITUDE 69.4 WEST, OR ABOUT 35 MILES, 55 KM EAST OF
SANTO DOMINGO IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND ABOUT 395 MILES, 635 KM
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUANTANAMO CUBA. FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 14
MPH, 22 KM/HR. A GENERAL MOTION TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK, THE CENTER OF FAY WILL
CROSS HISPANIOLA TONIGHT AND SATURDAY, AND PASS NEAR OR OVER EASTERN CUBA
SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH, 65 KM/HR, WITH HIGHER GUSTS, MAINLY
OVER WATER TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD
UP TO 85 MILES, 140 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE
IS 1008 MB, 29.77 INCHES.
TIDES OF 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL CAN BE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA IN
AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW. FAY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER HISPANIOLA AND EASTERN CUBA, WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES. THESE RAINS MAY PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.
REPEATING THE 5:00 PM AST POSITION, 18.5 N, 69.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD, WEST
NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS, 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE,
1008 MB. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 8:00 PM AST, FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11:00 PM
AST.

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